TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6b9…d0c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: IPO, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.25
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.96
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.08
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.1
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.11
Will Rich Russo - Super Bowl LIX - Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs win Best Director for Sports at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$449.4
Will Michael Morris - Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$571.86
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$123.75
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60.27
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$104.7
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$172.8
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+46.4%+$42.76
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$214.5
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$68.04
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$44.25
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$177
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+300%+$151.5
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25.8%+$16.6
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$10.26
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$56.97
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$200.7
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$133
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.18
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.67
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$874.5
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$137.28
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.54
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.57
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.42
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.76
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.32
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.31
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$285.12
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.54
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$117.99
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.61
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.04
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.34
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$269.44
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.88
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$189.72
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$105.5
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$54.32
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64.35
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.18
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40%+$246.56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.44
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.31
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.76
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$324.52
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$60.26
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$191.62
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.78
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.22
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.26
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+361.6%+$1,726.57
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$93.38
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$189.2
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.09
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.19
GPT ads by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$174.24
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.48
Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.48
Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$190.96
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$147.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.17
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$153.09
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.94
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$76.23
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$138.93
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$225.28
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$567.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$36.72
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$147.92
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$20.16
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$287.56
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.14
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+51.8%+$179.43
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.66
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$193.93
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$134.31
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$211.75
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$67.83
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.64
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$74.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.47
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44%+$31.76
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$567.77
Major solar storm by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.36
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$109.02
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.03
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.28
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.92
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$136.62
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$91.12
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$453.41
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+57.3%+$104.9
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$207.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.8%+$45.84
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$90.15
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+334.8%+$257.95
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+669.2%+$212.28
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$168
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.85
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$313.48
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.48
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$225.72
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.75
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+37%+$107.46
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.43
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$96.06
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$25.01
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+40.9%+$124.32
Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$62.56
Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$54.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+107.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$233.7
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$39.42
Will Infinex launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40.08
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$134.42
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$731.43
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$287.76
Will Infrared launch a token by September 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36.66
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$83.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.44
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.68
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.68
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$370.16
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.02
Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$332.25
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$345.96
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.72
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.18
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$481.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.5
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$79.22
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.2%+$26.86
Will "EoO - Bad Bunny" win Best Global Music Performance at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$627.17
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$65.67
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$154.28
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.68
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+262.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+257.1%+$563.76
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$65.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$141.4
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$130.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+488.2%+$63.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$832.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$98.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$345.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.