Movies · resolved market
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe30575480ae38723e0c03daa7124855097766b5e3820617084cc0b0e1612b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 72c | 904$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 45c | 893.04$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.59 | 486 | 36%175 W · 311 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 28c | 866$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 28c | 814$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 71c | 807$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 799$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.99 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 34c | 795$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked No | 62c | 694$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 29c | 607$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked No | 64c | 605$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 29c | 571$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 66c | 521$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 72c | 505$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed Yes | 36c | 471$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 71c | 412$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 71c | 389$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed Yes | 38c | 386$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 50c | 382.35$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 56c | 368.56$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 27c | 364$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes | 29c | 358$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 49c | 335.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 28c | 325$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked No | 75c | 320$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 66c | 320$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 53c | 319.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 68c | 314$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.47 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77d2…b7efbacked No | 29c | 312.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 23c | 311$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 38c | 308$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 72c | 301$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…901abacked No | 71c | 282$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 34c | 260$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked No | 73c | 256$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked Yes | 37c | 252$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 63c | 252$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 71c | 252$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 72c | 248$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 25c | 236$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 51c | 224.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked No | 71c | 221$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 35c | 216$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 66c | 214$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8127…a84abacked No | 32c | 214$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…6811backed Yes | 29c | 211$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 56c | 210$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed No | 51c | 206.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 48c | 204.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…61f8backed No | 30c | 203$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed No | 71c | 199$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 70c | 196$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed Yes | 33c | 194$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed No | 65c | 191$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 75c | 190$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…307cbacked Yes | 36c | 189$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked No | 78c | 188$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 25c | 185$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 72c | 184$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed No | 39c | 183.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed No | 79c | 179$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 73c | 177$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 29c | 175$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e6…b90dbacked No | 33c | 173$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 29c | 168$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 29c | 167$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes | 34c | 167$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 77c | 167$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a4…4f49backed No | 31c | 164$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 23c | 163$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…5e02backed Yes | 35c | 162$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 47c | 161.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…62e9backed No | 67c | 161$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 21c | 160$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 28c | 156.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 75c | 151.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bd…d498backed No | 31c | 151$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 28c | 149$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb926…b1e2backed Yes | 35c | 145$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 28c | 141$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 77c | 138$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 79c | 136$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 25c | 135$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +67%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 36c | 134$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…cb56backed No | 77c | 132$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 28c | 129$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 25c | 129$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…5853backed No | 34c | 128$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed Yes | 22c | 127$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…bac1backed No | 29c | 123$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…efc8backed No | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 65c | 122$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8e96backed No | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…d836backed Yes | 71c | 119$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 80c | 119$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 72c | 118$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed No | 75c | 117$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Architecton be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Deaf President Now! be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Selena y Los Dinos be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.