Movies · resolved market
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c268cabc12512297fa5ea5c1284c020c72ea93cdb91ad2ca62bd2d4e3fe98a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 6,008$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +335.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,215$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,090$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 61c | 1,066$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes | 41c | 1,019$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 43c | 930$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 74c | 796$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 56c | 789$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed Yes | 38c | 736$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…e59abacked No | 80c | 731$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 61c | 728$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Yes | 28c | 694$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 62c | 690$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 39c | 674$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.14 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 44c | 670$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 62c | 667$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 62c | 638$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 26c | 628$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.72 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Yes | 28c | 603$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 37c | 598$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…115cbacked Yes | 39c | 560$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 72c | 560$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 72c | 553.53$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.54 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 27c | 551$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 29c | 528$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 58c | 510$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.58 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 72c | 504$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 59c | 488$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed No | 71c | 478$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.38 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 39c | 476$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.41 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…b5fdbacked No | 74c | 461$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 28c | 451$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 72c | 448$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 57c | 440$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 69c | 427$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.14 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 67c | 424$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 26c | 412$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 73c | 411$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 72c | 398$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed Yes | 28c | 391$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.7 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 71c | 389.09$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed No | 73c | 383$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 28c | 378$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b92…f4c6backed No | 67c | 376$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.92 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 38c | 373$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 362$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed No | 59c | 362$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…6d73backed Yes | 75c | 361.49$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed No | 73c | 359$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 27c | 359$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…50e1backed No | 56c | 358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 45c | 357$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 59c | 346$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 30c | 326.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed No | 62c | 324$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes | 32c | 319$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked No | 58c | 315$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 72c | 314$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed No | 62c | 311$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 40c | 306$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…81f6backed Yes | 33c | 295$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 30c | 294.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked Yes | 26c | 283$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…ea1dbacked Yes | 31c | 281$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…181fbacked Yes | 23c | 269$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…f044backed Yes | 29c | 261.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 38c | 261$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 72c | 257$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 44c | 251$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed Yes | 27c | 243$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 72c | 237$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 71c | 231$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 72c | 220$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…84e4backed No | 74c | 216$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked No | 73c | 215$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 28c | 214$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 33c | 207$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed No | 68c | 207$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed No | 72c | 204$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 32c | 202$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 68c | 201$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 38c | 201$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 72c | 195$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed No | 60c | 194$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 57c | 191$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 43c | 189$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 28c | 187$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes | 38c | 186$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…e642backed Yes | 40c | 184$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 60c | 184$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 73c | 183$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 28c | 182$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked No | 74c | 175.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.82 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed Yes | 41c | 171$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 68c | 170.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Architecton be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Deaf President Now! be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Selena y Los Dinos be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.