TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7eae…3562

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.96
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$390.65
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$209.67
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$262.07
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.62
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$75.36
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+614.3%+$432.58
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$61.32
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$63.13
Will Tramell Tillman (Severance) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.1
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$23.24
Will "Weird" or "Weirdo" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$27.06
Will "Jesus" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$78.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.18
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.54
Military action against Iran ends by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$499.5
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.87
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.25
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$164.97
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.04
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129.43
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$176.9
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$502.88
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$108.96
Will Donald Trump say "real peace" or "legitimate peace" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$374.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+92.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.65
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$415.52
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.44
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$406.83
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+733.3%+$234.57
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+525%+$677.04
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$344.66
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$142.52
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$145.04
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$72.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$236.64
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.16
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$567.24
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.74
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$178.04
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$291.19
Will "Engineering" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$198.55
Will "Supreme Court" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$19.44
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$293.19
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$257.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$110.68
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$121.6
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.04
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.59
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.86
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$79
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$51.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$941.46
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 18%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+910.1%+$325.26
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$244.2
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$257.4
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.78
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$197.96
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+65%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$191.1
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+525%+$417.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,001.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+376.2%+$48.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$429.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$316.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$425.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HOTU qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$239.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.