Movies · resolved market
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0cde609be295e92cac0dec31b1628f6af050beb2e714cad716b2534d4e655af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa151…13b4backed No | 30c | 1,197$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 69c | 1,107$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 24c | 1,075$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 76c | 1,059$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed No | 30c | 938$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 31c | 880$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed No | 23c | 801$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 32c | 791$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 21c | 784.82$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed No | 24c | 745$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked No | 22c | 714$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 28c | 693$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…e858backed No | 31c | 678$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 72c | 675$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 69c | 644$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.64 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 66c | 633$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 24c | 622$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed No | 34c | 614$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 24c | 598$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…ad32backed Yes | 70c | 565$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 70c | 558$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 77c | 550$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 73c | 550$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked Yes | 69c | 520$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 23c | 520$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 67c | 513$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 69c | 507$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed Yes | 70c | 489$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 31c | 458$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 77c | 449$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 30c | 448$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes | 76c | 447$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 77c | 447$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 77c | 438$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 31c | 425$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 76c | 423$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 33c | 421$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 67c | 421$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 22c | 410.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 73c | 408$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 70c | 406$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 23c | 395.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…6622backed Yes | 76c | 395$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed No | 34c | 374$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed No | 24c | 374$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 76c | 373$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed No | 24c | 373$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 76c | 373$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 77c | 368$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed Yes | 72c | 368$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed No | 28c | 368$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 23c | 361$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked No | 27c | 348$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 73c | 342.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 78c | 313.39$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 75c | 312.74$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked No | 32c | 304$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 76c | 298$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed Yes | 70c | 297$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 25c | 280$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 78c | 278$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b7d3backed No | 23c | 268$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 24c | 253.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 76c | 252$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 24c | 251$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 15c | 250.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 28c | 238$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 23c | 238$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed No | 31c | 235$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…71b6backed No | 5c | 233.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed No | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 70c | 221$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 70c | 219$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 68c | 218.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 76c | 211$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Yes | 75c | 198.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 73c | 195$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 5c | 193.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 77c | 182$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 79c | 176.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 21c | 174.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed Yes | 69c | 174$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed No | 30c | 163$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 69c | 158$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 10c | 154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 76c | 151$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 23c | 146$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…9b58backed Yes | 79c | 141.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed No | 24c | 121$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 32c | 115.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 101.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8500…3de4backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes | 67c | 98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Jason Isaacs (The White Lotus) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Tramell Tillman (Severance) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Walton Goggins (The White Lotus) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.