TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe36c…a6f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$1,015.98
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$138.15
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$87.48
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$76.45
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.6
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$164.58
Will The Traitors win Best Producer of Game & Competition TV at the 37th PGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$113.49
Will Sophie Baek get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.67
Will "Melania" score at least 10 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+525%+$324.24
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.76
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.95
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.53
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$38.74
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.92
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$31.08
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$301.32
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.89
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+455.6%+$485.44
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$206.4
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$371.17
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$270.66
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.77
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$141.98
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$232.36
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$313.92
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+295.7%+$1,103.76
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$52.08
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$51.43
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+120%+$322.31
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140.7
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$345.18
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20.46
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.92
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.7
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.54
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$71.05
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.56
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$98.21
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.01
Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.39
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+35.8%+$335.49
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64.74
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.56
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$181.04
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$115.52
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.19
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$252.63
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.72
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$97.52
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$357.7
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$434.73
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$203.72
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$308.76
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$609.07
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$107.1
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$149.93
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$137.28
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+93.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.04
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$923.37
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.2
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$208.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$235.56
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.24
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$24.36
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.06
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$200.64
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$275.64
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,069.3
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+614.3%+$248.54
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+525%+$203.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.51
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.76
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$199.51
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.57
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.32
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$78.12
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$173.75
Will Grok be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$65.15
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$62.16
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$355.55
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.7%+$88.45
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+130.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-79.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-66.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+344.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$296.66
Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$145.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochibacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.74
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+138.1%+$371.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$197.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$122.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$217.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$114.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.