Movies · resolved market
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f9bf662307bbd89aa25d3efc8c9f219360f9a012ef4bf8596b8076b6b669d0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 18c | 2,748$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.97 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 20c | 2,171$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.09 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 17c | 1,640$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.21 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 25c | 1,453$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 29c | 1,375$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 25c | 1,322$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 74c | 1,319$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 23c | 1,270$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…f044backed No | 20c | 1,215$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed Yes | 76c | 1,207$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed No | 26c | 1,118$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,097$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed No | 25c | 1,058$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…1868backed No | 68c | 1,024$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 75c | 970$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 74c | 958$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed Yes | 77c | 936$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 75c | 885$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked No | 24c | 853$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 77c | 845$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed Yes | 75c | 842$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed No | 24c | 829$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 77c | 825$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked Yes | 76c | 823$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed Yes | 74c | 820$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 25c | 804$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 74c | 784$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 77c | 779$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 75c | 765$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…53e0backed No | 26c | 762$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 76c | 753$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 78c | 752.08$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 74c | 752$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed No | 25c | 744$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 74c | 726$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Yes | 75c | 725$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 79c | 721$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 75c | 715$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 75c | 702$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 25c | 672$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.51 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 26c | 663$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.38 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked No | 23c | 654$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes | 76c | 650$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…9dd3backed No | 25c | 645$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 75c | 645$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…b70dbacked Yes | 75c | 638.41$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 24c | 628$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed No | 27c | 624$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 21c | 615$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 29c | 612$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 76c | 595$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 24c | 585$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 74c | 584$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 77c | 567$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 23c | 563$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed No | 25c | 554$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 24c | 549.04$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 71c | 544$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked No | 32c | 528$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes | 71c | 524$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 25c | 519$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes | 20c | 515.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.53 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 28c | 512$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 18c | 509$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 70c | 504$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 26c | 499$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 20c | 490.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked Yes | 71c | 486$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed No | 25c | 484$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked Yes | 75c | 479$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed No | 30c | 465$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 79c | 456.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 32c | 453$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed Yes | 68c | 445.8$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 25c | 441$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed No | 26c | 441$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +73%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed Yes | 74c | 439$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 77c | 437$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked Yes | 75c | 430$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 77c | 418$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 26c | 411$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed No | 23c | 409$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 27c | 406$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 72c | 401$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 29c | 395$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 27c | 392$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 26c | 391$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes | 71c | 389$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 30c | 383$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed No | 30c | 379$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 25c | 376$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 75c | 376$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed No | 24c | 354$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 74c | 349$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 26c | 348$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 73c | 344$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 75c | 343$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 22c | 342$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 25c | 340$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Architecton be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Deaf President Now! be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Selena y Los Dinos be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.