Movies · resolved market
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb9d7c72133410cd72cb6df5e695dd0b9e65bb0494a2639cceaa80e939ff20c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 54c | 1,595$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed No | 51c | 1,241$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…19c8backed No | 53c | 1,201$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked No | 45c | 1,171$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 53c | 1,161$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,075$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 29c | 1,041$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.11 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 42c | 939$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.51 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed Yes | 69c | 917$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…95c6backed No | 31c | 884$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed No | 53c | 859$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…7b04backed Yes | 47c | 853$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.91 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked No | 46c | 835$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 35c | 819.75$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 59c | 806$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed Yes | 49c | 805$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 53c | 769$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +123%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 53c | 710$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 45c | 696$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 60c | 692$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.96 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…fc69backed Yes | 47c | 672$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 9c | 666$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes | 68c | 655$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.89 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 47c | 608$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 54c | 607.01$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Yes | 47c | 581$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 47c | 575$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed Yes | 47c | 569$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 34c | 561$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 60c | 542$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed Yes | 70c | 531$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…9a60backed Yes | 55c | 530$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed No | 53c | 519$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 46c | 518$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes | 49c | 506$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed No | 53c | 501$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed No | 53c | 478$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed No | 53c | 468$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed Yes | 47c | 464$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed No | 34c | 452$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…b7d3backed Yes | 47c | 443$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…d368backed No | 53c | 443$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked No | 53c | 432$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 46c | 422$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 54c | 422$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 51c | 419$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 47c | 418$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked Yes | 47c | 405$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 46c | 405$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked No | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed No | 46c | 391$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 54c | 388$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 36c | 382$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 71c | 377$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed No | 59c | 377$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 51c | 372$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d20ebacked Yes | 47c | 365$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 40c | 362$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Yes | 66c | 362$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked No | 53c | 361$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 29c | 361$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.31 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 54c | 359$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked No | 46c | 357$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 54c | 357$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes | 47c | 354$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…b087backed No | 30c | 349$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 47c | 344$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 336.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 54c | 334$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…eab3backed No | 30c | 331$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 59c | 329$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 71c | 326$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 29c | 326$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked No | 57c | 323$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed Yes | 47c | 322$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 54c | 321$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed No | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 39c | 314$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 47c | 313$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed No | 61c | 302$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 49c | 292$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf049…29fdbacked No | 29c | 292$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 47c | 292$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 55c | 289$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…4515backed No | 31c | 272$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed No | 51c | 268$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…ea1dbacked Yes | 54c | 263.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…1fb3backed Yes | 54c | 261$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 53c | 254$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed Yes | 47c | 252$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…cdfabacked Yes | 41c | 243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…0da3backed Yes | 41c | 236$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed Yes | 28c | 236$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 54c | 235$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Architecton be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Deaf President Now! be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Selena y Los Dinos be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.