TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66a7…6569

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Weather, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.1
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.82
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$105.46
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$439.28
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$306.24
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$260.64
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$104.49
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.92
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+75.4%+$473
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+222.6%+$385.71
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+170.3%+$914.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$270.55
Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.15
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$51.77
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$617.45
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.68
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.44
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.23
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$304.79
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.82
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$245.44
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25%+$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$40.28
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009.29
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$108.9
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.58
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$142.8
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$64.35
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$177.84
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+215.1%+$621.18
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$270.25
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$33.81
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.34
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.56
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$165.68
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$96.9
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$150
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$77.39
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$210.6
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$143.7
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$46.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+80.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-46.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+119.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$461.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$208.88
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$95.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Nothing" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$112.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be greater than $9.00B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$240.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$428.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.