NBA · resolved market
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd25ee3efe38e7469f9483980b9f8f22ec3d96377bd470b26401e0050e92f1401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked Yes | 44c | 1,474$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 20c | 1,200$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked No | 73c | 1,190$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…230bbacked No | 56c | 1,172$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes | 19c | 1,153$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 18c | 897$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.54 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…ae79backed Yes | 18c | 832$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +215%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 18c | 824$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed No | 71c | 792$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 29c | 782$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 33c | 761.72$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.15 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Yes | 35c | 702.46$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.8 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 71c | 664$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 58c | 651$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1abbbacked Yes | 18c | 647$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed No | 79c | 635$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 27c | 616.24$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed No | 78c | 605$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 22c | 604$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.07 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…cd5cbacked Yes | 18c | 569$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…68cabacked Yes | 29c | 556$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed Yes | 19c | 545$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed Yes | 18c | 535$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.7 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 44c | 521$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.76 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 56c | 521$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 29c | 465$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…50f8backed Yes | 18c | 453$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 78c | 449$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Yes | 22c | 438.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.35 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed Yes | 25c | 432$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes | 44c | 425$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked No | 56c | 425$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes | 42c | 412$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1683backed Yes | 18c | 401$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 63c | 389$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…d368backed Yes | 18c | 373$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No | 42c | 367$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 37c | 366$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 20c | 359$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 38c | 353$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 37c | 346$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 22c | 337$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.86 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 20c | 329$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 21c | 326$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 26c | 320$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 79c | 312$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e4…fa57backed Yes | 18c | 311$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 20c | 295$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…1f50backed No | 42c | 284$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…62d6backed Yes | 71c | 282.79$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…e50fbacked No | 58c | 281$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked Yes | 19c | 280$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked Yes | 10c | 280$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 22c | 278$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 78c | 268$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Yes | 29c | 264$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed Yes | 44c | 247$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes | 18c | 247$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed No | 71c | 244$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 61c | 238$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 39c | 238$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 80c | 226$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 80c | 225$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed Yes | 19c | 224$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…50ecbacked Yes | 10c | 224$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +179%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 26c | 219.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 72c | 219.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…d454backed Yes | 58c | 215.93$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 30cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee4e…aa5abacked No | 75c | 208$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked No | 56c | 207$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 63c | 206$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed Yes | 44c | 206$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked No | 15c | 200.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 36c | 199$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 29c | 199$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8f4bbacked Yes | 44c | 195$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…9767backed No | 61c | 189$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 44c | 189$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 9c | 188.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 18c | 180$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 63c | 178$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed Yes | 11c | 177$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 36c | 176$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 64c | 176$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 44c | 174$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed No | 56c | 171$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 56c | 167$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes | 20c | 165$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked No | 80c | 165$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 63c | 165$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked No | 56c | 160.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 62c | 159$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 17c | 155.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 62c | 153$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 18c | 146$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +270.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes | 17c | 144$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed Yes | 18c | 141$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 10c | 139$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?this page
- Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz have the worst record in the NBA?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.