NBA · resolved market
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2016eb15c8b61cb95fe512a0c91f43fc46793e9ac0a30595d08dcffe637fdd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3126…4ff7backed No | 69c | 9,480$6,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…3bb4backed No | 69c | 9,310$6,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…33eebacked No | 69c | 9,130$6,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 5c | 3,003$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…a961backed No | 70c | 2,370$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…811fbacked No | 69c | 2,210$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea8…43dabacked No | 68c | 1,190$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…f660backed No | 69c | 1,010$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0384…90c2backed No | 69c | 910$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…446bbacked No | 69c | 860$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 5c | 684$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 20c | 674.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…0979backed No | 68c | 670.01$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…9817backed No | 68c | 540.01$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…2d7dbacked No | 68c | 540$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…37fbbacked No | 69c | 529.99$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 4c | 474$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Yes | 14c | 439.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 27c | 419$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 73c | 388$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…2518backed Yes | 28c | 355.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…b586backed No | 68c | 339.98$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked Yes | 4c | 321$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…175bbacked No | 68c | 310$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 10c | 295.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 24c | 292.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 4c | 266$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Yes | 20c | 260.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 8c | 247$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 24c | 219.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…4325backed Yes | 14c | 215.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 20c | 210.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bd…d461backed No | 68c | 210$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Yes | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No | 73c | 194$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07f…f419backed No | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…bd68backed No | 68c | 170$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 17c | 168.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 27c | 149$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 27c | 138.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…8aaabacked No | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 124.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 9c | 121.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 69c | 120.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Yes | 27c | 119.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 27c | 104$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…c27abacked Yes | 21c | 94.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…58b6backed Yes | 53c | 94.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 17c | 77.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 26c | 72.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…c666backed No | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 68c | 50.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 58c | 46.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…0923backed Yes | 55c | 36.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 34.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…4e18backed Yes | 48c | 31.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked No | 76c | 30.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked Yes | 58c | 29.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…7836backed Yes | 42c | 28.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 60c | 26.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed No | 48c | 24.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…bc58backed No | 75c | 23.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 57c | 22.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7b…7836backed No | 57c | 20.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?this page
- Will the Brooklyn Nets have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz have the worst record in the NBA?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.