TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1298…bc58

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Houston Rockets win more than 52.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+62%+$18.42
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.33
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$38.89
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$5.97
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$8.15
Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.77
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.23
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.19
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$8.67
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$64.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-79%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid+75.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$68.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+300%+$41.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.