Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec1254e7ce833a8d75773d42d126f62a32fa986cae4c75bc3959ba13b3233eb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 45c | 682.66$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed Yes | 70c | 471.01$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 23c | 459.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.96 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…1b18backed No | 50c | 420.04$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7213…90d1backed Yes | 57c | 405.83$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 53c | 211.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…5ffcbacked Yes | 50c | 210$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 42c | 193.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…def4backed Yes | 35c | 162.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 26c | 149.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…9e76backed Yes | 37c | 111.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 29c | 101.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 68c | 98.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…6b0bbacked Yes | 31c | 97.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…1bf0backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…483bbacked No | 51c | 78.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…7bc0backed No | 14c | 71.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…fc63backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffc…d342backed Yes | 51c | 69.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…da7bbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…b482backed Yes | 28c | 53.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 42c | 53.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 32c | 39.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 68c | 35.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 49c | 34.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…b2eebacked Yes | 66c | 33.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Yes | 69c | 29.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…f704backed Yes | 42c | 28.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 51c | 26.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…b229backed Yes | 61c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…bcdabacked Yes | 49c | 25.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 68c | 25.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…0399backed Yes | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…bc58backed Yes | 53c | 19.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…fdd8backed No | 72c | 18.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?this page
- Will Bradley Barcola be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?No won
- Will Breel Embolo be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?No won
- Will Georges Mikautadze be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?No won
- Will Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?No won
- Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?No won
- Will Matias Goncalo Ramos be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?No won
- Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?No won
- Will Wesley Said be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.