TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e8d…a2ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$225.78
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$1,707.18
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$656.07
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.33
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$32.89
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$48.7
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$1,383.18
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$59.4
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$108.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$89.84
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$205.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$23.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$131.33
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Esteban Lepaul be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$31.12
Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$33.6
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,037Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$708.25
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$53.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.14
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.22
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$202.8
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.46
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.12
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$206.72
Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$128.11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$271.35
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$262.3
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.32
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.2%+$510.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$54.58
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$575.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.62
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$566.66
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$723.58
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$122.98
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$85.18
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Buffalo Sabres advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$373.89
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$17.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.