TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,103,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,342,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,103,950 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 885 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No43c106,392$46,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,276.141,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes48c103,250$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,249.84139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c71,138$33,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,690.125651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No54c54,721$29,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,596.443756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c51,461$25,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,491.6462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c47,995$25,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,306.5952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes58c43,802$25,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,222.1522745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No30c41,977$12,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,704.741,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes66c38,329$25,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,969.981080%8 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes59c30,282$17,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,451.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes68c24,874$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,874.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes48c20,833$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,833.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No52c19,447$10,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,112.395257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Yes48c18,956$9,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,912.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No52c18,888$9,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,821.763246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c18,288$9,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,621.1387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No51c18,061$9,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,298.541346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes66c16,785$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,785.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No54c16,775$8,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,987.42759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No52c16,766$8,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,718.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c16,470$5,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,960.0748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes47c14,362$6,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,647.912263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No54c12,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,479.982853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes80c11,759$9,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.8614346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes46c11,000$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9402528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes73c10,998$8,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,965.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No55c10,969$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,020.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Yes77c9,328$7,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No54c8,898$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,775.23944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes48c7,917$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,116.671154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No55c7,633$4,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,186.236443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c7,563$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,735.7118351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No41c7,418$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Yes72c6,980$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes48c6,771$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,520.832466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No52c6,625$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.284548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No53c6,400$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3926347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.981526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed No52c6,264$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked No39c6,157$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No55c6,083$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,315.262437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc788…8545backed Yes45c5,444$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No53c5,071$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.782445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes72c4,841$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.021553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf310…76cbbacked No54c4,598$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b90…52aebacked Yes45c4,397$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+119.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes46c4,267$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.82665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+70.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No34c4,132$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.755642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c4,090$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.8528448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes61c4,024$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.93847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes46c4,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.9312957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No59c3,390$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes45c3,080$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6943100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5602642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.972466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.962653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No53c2,800$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4845151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No38c2,712$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.663745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c2,696$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.7423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.998143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c2,487$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.1312647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes64c2,460$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.743964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No53c2,400$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2725151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No46c2,356$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.9124349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0126…065cbacked Yes47c2,323$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No54c2,303$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.1226354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No55c2,236$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.798254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No40c2,221$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.0633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No55c2,139$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.6912963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe12…c26fbacked No54c2,035$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb381…45d1backed No54c2,010$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0603250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No53c1,955$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.5830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Yes47c1,830$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cc…791fbacked No55c1,819$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…b37abacked No54c1,758$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ba…3fcbbacked Yes47c1,723$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc329…067ebacked Yes47c1,706$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3a…0979backed No54c1,664$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes47c1,651$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.091428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No53c1,651$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87516644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96f…7883backed Yes47c1,637$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba2…63ddbacked Yes47c1,609$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8485251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8484854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes48c1,583$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked Yes65c1,552$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.58977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3a0…22c7backed No54c1,529$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No33c1,528$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.011323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.741675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8106553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8104751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Yes48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.873647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.