TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c10,392$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.211,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No75c10,390$7,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.922745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No76c8,500$6,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes25c7,365$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8501526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d3…7cc1backed Yes2c4,873$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.083836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No76c3,952$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.488254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6802…da5ebacked No76c2,154$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes24c1,980$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No75c1,767$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.6812957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Yes19c1,680$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No73c1,490$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.241172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes25c1,201$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No76c1,028$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No39c1,021$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.654833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes25c988$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.891435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes24c961.65$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes57c957$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.322944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes22c844.09$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.151040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No73c766.2$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No76c763.98$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.426354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f90…c86cbacked No75c755.28$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes63c745$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c728.51$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes25c720$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No76c684.38$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.251553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c637.5$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15930448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No71c599.96$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9718847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No77c579.04$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7112963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c537.16$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No76c509.91$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.38955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes20c501.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes25c480$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c454.64$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6610640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No75c443.32$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.832466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes24c422.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003716.2%6 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes25c401.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007031.4%22 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No78c392.87$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.613250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No77c371.13$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.361553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No80c353.85$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No71c350.19$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.155829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No42c340$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.22536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No76c337.83$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.085651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes21c299.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes62c299.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.998066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x674d…912cbacked Yes24c283.13$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes24c278$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.728143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes25c260$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6560%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes25c254.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No57c253.61$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.625846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ba…e27cbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No69c234$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.652544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Yes24c226.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes26c223.81$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes16c204.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3950%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35a7…c4eebacked Yes25c194.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+149.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes18c177$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.863354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No74c170$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.27060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes24c167.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c165.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Yes61c164.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c161.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.829637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes58c140.93$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.747149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf23a…d412backed Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed No76c139.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.62263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No38c139$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes23c130.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0818351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf558…3c42backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No79c129.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.171450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c124.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6233145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd0…78febacked Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x996b…abf7backed Yes25c113.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c111.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.873658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes25c108$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Yes21c104.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.714030%12 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No38c100.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.651850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf316…1e44backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+208.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.