Champions League · resolved market
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ca0f412d4c8700ed1cb835a35ddbdda1ab02027dcd7366ed8e3ac83b603910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 12c | 22,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 66c | 20,539$13,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,054.91 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 12c | 14,168$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.92 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 11c | 7,898$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Yes | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 13c | 6,000$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 37c | 5,980$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.86 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 37c | 5,330$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.75 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 12c | 5,130$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 13c | 4,200$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 13c | 3,975$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +341.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 13c | 3,159$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.84 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 12c | 2,964$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.62 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,933$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.43 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 21c | 2,601$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.43 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 19c | 2,414$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.86 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed No | 62c | 2,237$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.91 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,929$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed No | 63c | 1,751$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 12c | 1,597$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…e4b4backed Yes | 10c | 1,467$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…f61fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,146$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.36 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 13c | 982.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 4c | 968$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 37c | 942.97$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.47 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked No | 64c | 927$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.72 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…0e7abacked Yes | 14c | 892.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 42c | 866.72$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.88 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 11c | 775$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…68b6backed Yes | 38c | 655.53$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 65c | 613.91$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 58c | 521.73$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…5dcdbacked No | 60c | 490$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…2026backed Yes | 13c | 463$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…5aafbacked Yes | 10c | 315.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 29c | 302.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 285.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…f5ccbacked Yes | 16c | 243.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 221.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb7…8783backed Yes | 13c | 215$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…180dbacked No | 74c | 203.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…4d40backed Yes | 12c | 198.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…ffd3backed Yes | 12c | 182.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…610abacked Yes | 13c | 181.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 41c | 177.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 14c | 175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9a…06b6backed No | 58c | 172.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…6df4backed Yes | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…a17bbacked Yes | 9c | 160.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 12c | 156$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…3c05backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 13c | 129.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…fa61backed Yes | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…4b71backed No | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…4852backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…2658backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 101.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…e483backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…20efbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…71e4backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 59c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…ff2dbacked Yes | 13c | 92.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed No | 77c | 73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b5…b7acbacked Yes | 14c | 72.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes | 29c | 69.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Yes | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed No | 67c | 53.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…c6a4backed No | 59c | 52.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…5e9fbacked No | 63c | 47.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…df2fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 36c | 40.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…1d84backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.