Champions League · resolved market
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dce1f13c565d8c34807aedfd6f75b41e0908f34fabfd2b56c362f190202d4b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 70c | 31,168$21,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,273.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 62c | 24,330$15,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,166.3 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Yes | 31c | 14,181$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 70c | 7,887$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 46c | 6,190$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 30c | 4,214$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.87 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 72c | 3,444$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 30c | 3,031$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.91 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 2,962$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.77 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 17c | 2,854$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.22 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 48c | 2,851$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.79 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,833$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 65c | 2,760$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.19 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 30c | 2,488$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 51c | 2,457$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.41 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…dc31backed Yes | 28c | 2,293$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 69c | 2,100$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.97 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 40c | 2,002$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 51c | 1,885$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.46 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,857$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes | 29c | 1,799$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,799$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 71c | 1,752$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 36c | 1,610$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.8 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked Yes | 29c | 1,592$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 29c | 1,588$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.21 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,526$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 1,514$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.18 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d79…1c29backed No | 70c | 1,500$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Yes | 34c | 1,490$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 5c | 1,460$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…36fdbacked No | 69c | 1,365$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…2207backed Yes | 73c | 1,362$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 69c | 1,300$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed No | 70c | 1,214$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed No | 31c | 1,187$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…dd01backed Yes | 72c | 1,150$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,137$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…755ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,094$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 30c | 1,085$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…6d32backed Yes | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 32c | 1,030$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4420backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…8b60backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yes | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…0e61backed No | 68c | 999.97$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 34c | 974.09$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.46 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 65c | 953.01$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 37c | 945.98$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.06 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…c201backed Yes | 71c | 942.84$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…a11cbacked Yes | 53c | 938.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Yes | 20c | 917$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 28c | 916.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.76 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 67c | 876.96$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…41cabacked Yes | 29c | 876.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…b523backed Yes | 29c | 861.94$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 54c | 849.87$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 31c | 835.92$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 71c | 807$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.61 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked No | 71c | 803.82$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 16c | 799.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…c4e1backed Yes | 31c | 799.58$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 43c | 705.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…684fbacked Yes | 43c | 701.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…898cbacked Yes | 29c | 655.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Yes | 64c | 628.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…1c0dbacked Yes | 31c | 581.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 38c | 554.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 46c | 550$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 40c | 547.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 57c | 543.13$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 2c | 530.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 69c | 521.74$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabb…5424backed Yes | 29c | 513.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 73c | 499.92$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc4…96f5backed Yes | 40c | 495.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 28c | 487.42$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.73 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…6a76backed No | 62c | 484.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…f4f6backed Yes | 29c | 479.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 70c | 478.54$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…a65fbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 41c | 451.39$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…14febacked No | 69c | 436.06$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed No | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 49c | 412.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…1953backed No | 69c | 399.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes | 47c | 392.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.