TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cc4…96f5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5362.3%33 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+571.1%+$228.46
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$45.56
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$40.42
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$35.59
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$37.56
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$84.62
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$25.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$15.77
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$5.25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.95
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.88
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+84%+$31.09
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.65
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$45.72
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$21.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$10.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.96
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.32
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$141.99
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.03
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$11.48
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$56.88
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.