TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,875,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,875,519 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 945 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked No64c199,848$127,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,945.2810443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c155,881$102,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,070.2558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes36c150,000$53,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,998.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes36c99,360$35,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,281.213633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes37c83,820$30,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,944.952030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No65c77,039$50,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,788.823652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes34c69,280$23,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,553.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes36c60,580$21,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,707.166657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes36c47,228$17,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,001.991478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c35,885$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,500.081,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Yes37c29,009$10,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,743.71926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes38c26,225$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes79c23,476$18,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,491.798751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No64c21,732$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7327145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c21,670$13,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,768.3559741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed No63c21,000$13,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,769.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes39c20,156$7,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,855.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes33c19,183$6,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,331.732744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes34c18,062$6,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,193.648938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c17,042$8,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,160.111,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No65c15,385$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.625466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No60c13,044$7,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,188.8539743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No62c12,733$7,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,870.0644033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked No64c12,500$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.123138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No69c10,473$7,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.267834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c10,395$6,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.6412352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes49c10,280$5,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,073.3817466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aa6…a683backed Yes1c10,152$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed No64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b14…9848backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Yes36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+134.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed No65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.182142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.985856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No66c9,996$6,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.581457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c9,923$6,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.6963346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes34c9,199$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.9111846.6%55 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked No66c9,144$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.673452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes36c8,814$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.36451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No64c8,350$5,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.775550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b7…00a0backed No66c8,162$5,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No64c7,500$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Yes28c7,143$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No66c6,749$4,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.624866.7%32 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No54c6,100$3,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.1920948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes32c6,095$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.569754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes35c6,047$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.882737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Yes33c6,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes36c5,556$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes34c5,555$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.594540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes31c5,390$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.8820462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8302…f88abacked Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No63c4,962$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.9426645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes36c4,659$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.5128543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed No67c4,634$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.863070%21 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed No66c4,545$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.453151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No64c4,437$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.3916144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes4c4,371$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.545829.3%17 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+158%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes34c4,116$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.868848.9%43 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No61c3,964$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.468840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes35c3,920$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.6539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No65c3,846$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.154951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed No68c3,677$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.67944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes34c3,502$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.4610849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49d…516dbacked Yes34c3,441$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1702638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c3,215$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.2133851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes41c3,110$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.33060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0505145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No64c3,000$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.312540%10 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8713…4007backed No65c2,924$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.7666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes19c2,860$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.044242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+403.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes32c2,843$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.8413548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes19c2,657$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No66c2,600$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No65c2,487$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.452360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes35c2,304$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.321816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes59c2,183$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.323565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed No73c2,182$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.331457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No50c2,135$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.523348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No44c2,086$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.557140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes18c2,029$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.355625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No64c2,003$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.8126047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6802955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8209444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5285…99a1backed Yes34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No66c1,973$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.729846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x837b…cdebbacked Yes34c1,924$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.781921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Yes31c1,896$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.831735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No67c1,842$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.4938748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b4…74dcbacked No65c1,790$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.972564%16 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Yes3c1,749$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Yes29c1,705$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No10c1,637$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.6538935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No64c1,562$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.58146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Yes41c1,548$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked No64c1,510$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.823847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No64c1,500$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.573050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.