TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07b7…00a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.2
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+225.6%+$97
Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Filsbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,441
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,665.18
BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,592.6
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,800.8
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$461.24
Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsenbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,892Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,892.3
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Filsbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+41%+$1,345.38
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,808Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40%+$1,521.76
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,284.07
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008.35
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,830.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$2,785.33
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$2,172.18
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.