TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Zealandof Afghanistan, New Zealand
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$518,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$594,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x010f…cdb8backed Afghanistan36c31,139$11,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,209.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Afghanistan32c21,482$6,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,773.4716546.1%76 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed New Zealand56c20,899$11,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,290.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Afghanistan36c18,388$6,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,616.330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Afghanistan47c17,452$8,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,246.967349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ef…f98cbacked New Zealand64c16,908$10,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,084.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed New Zealand71c16,719$11,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.9915335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x230d…1cddbacked New Zealand64c15,680$10,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,644.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed New Zealand56c11,956$6,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,237.954143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked New Zealand57c11,477$6,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,961.7850547.5%240 W · 265 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5197…610fbacked New Zealand41c8,428$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,987.912536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed New Zealand64c7,155$4,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.75850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed New Zealand63c6,204$3,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.481758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Afghanistan41c5,947$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.6613151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Zealand66c5,769$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,972.848949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e62…5ea6backed New Zealand40c4,877$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6e…eb7dbacked Afghanistan4c4,602$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.462910.3%3 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-57.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed New Zealand60c4,512$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.829851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Afghanistan0c4,020$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.153698.7%32 W · 337 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7e…ffeebacked Afghanistan37c3,920$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.41520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Afghanistan36c3,906$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.1226130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b7…00a0backed New Zealand49c3,427$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…0618backed New Zealand56c3,200$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Afghanistan52c3,147$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.8333042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…f1ccbacked Afghanistan47c2,868$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed Afghanistan17c2,702$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.8522241.9%93 W · 129 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c27…4d56backed New Zealand59c2,603$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.642937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fd…be65backed Afghanistan5c2,600$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354413.6%6 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba94…c78bbacked Afghanistan69c2,590$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.646564.6%42 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Afghanistan35c2,579$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.853941%16 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be5…e1ccbacked New Zealand65c2,501$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Afghanistan29c2,415$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.3576351.6%394 W · 369 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac7…689dbacked Afghanistan37c2,280$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8efa…416ebacked Afghanistan18c2,037$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.731323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Afghanistan55c1,838$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01014852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked Afghanistan40c1,733$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.9332846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed New Zealand65c1,493$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.351250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Afghanistan4c1,460$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.913336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Afghanistan36c1,449$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Afghanistan29c1,364$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39412842.2%54 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bc…e4dabacked New Zealand74c1,364$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.655341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Afghanistan44c1,256$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.3463646.4%295 W · 341 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x214c…6378backed Afghanistan65c1,242$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1939…b86bbacked New Zealand78c1,221$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.242352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…76a5backed New Zealand77c1,129$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5812357.7%71 W · 52 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0126…e11abacked New Zealand67c1,124$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.991618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed New Zealand75c1,124$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.99425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Afghanistan8c1,064$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8631027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecc…77dabacked Afghanistan26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed New Zealand65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3506946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc3…edf0backed New Zealand63c989.39$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+321.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe1e…2f7bbacked Afghanistan1c986.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed New Zealand48c984.69$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7732337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Afghanistan35c971.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1913227.3%36 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf4…5daabacked Afghanistan58c932.07$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.794047.5%19 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed New Zealand64c904$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.4916345.4%74 W · 89 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3052…ca02backed Afghanistan45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40510734.6%37 W · 70 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed New Zealand72c876.39$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.391428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Afghanistan70c850$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5959758.8%57 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ad…993dbacked Afghanistan48c838.53$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9811058.2%64 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc1…a1e6backed New Zealand69c807.96$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd2…8414backed Afghanistan36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e50…1efebacked New Zealand64c799.97$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed New Zealand65c726.99$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.439241.3%38 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d2…a62dbacked New Zealand54c722.41$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Afghanistan45c666.06$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007746.8%36 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed Afghanistan17c640$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.818923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d48…6573backed New Zealand71c629.62$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8713…4007backed New Zealand66c616.74$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.741776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…e41dbacked New Zealand55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0e…ace1backed New Zealand61c592.7$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e7a…500cbacked New Zealand50c576.91$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9223754.4%129 W · 108 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed New Zealand64c574.2$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.21450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7f…cdffbacked New Zealand51c556.06$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.066048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked New Zealand74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.545244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…58dbbacked New Zealand68c500$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dad…5386backed Afghanistan52c498.81$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2587549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Afghanistan49c497.86$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0510149.5%50 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Afghanistan55c497.7$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8867931.4%213 W · 466 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2972…c7acbacked New Zealand73c495.6$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.382343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Afghanistan35c480.75$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.76669.1%6 W · 60 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-71.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Afghanistan49c477.3$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.875058%29 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a1…e821backed New Zealand51c476.92$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9223555.3%130 W · 105 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Afghanistan3c470.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.884717%8 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed New Zealand65c467.39$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5911524.3%28 W · 87 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf855…efa9backed New Zealand72c467.36$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4830…a59dbacked Afghanistan4c462.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56013.3%8 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed New Zealand46c451.35$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.192528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…cf28backed Afghanistan6c445.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef51…c0d3backed Afghanistan43c411.93$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.516349.7%81 W · 82 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Afghanistan38c406.79$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd8…372abacked Afghanistan35c401.09$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-63.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea9…4453backed New Zealand66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1363548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…3003backed New Zealand55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18013752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd859…040abacked Afghanistan30c399.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed New Zealand47c389.15$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1520342.4%86 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9545…56fabacked New Zealand79c389.07$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.091973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x53ef…eeaabacked New Zealand62c386.69$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.516958%40 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9957…ada9backed New Zealand67c381.42$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edd…be0fbacked New Zealand32c375$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25511424.6%28 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.