TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0126…e11a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwebacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$107
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+37%+$73.97
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+186.1%+$372.29
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$196
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$120
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$396
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200
T20 World Cup: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.5%+$371.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.9%+$105.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$470.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.