Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x307dd79a1dd1c897036e2bcfa619466898d8004da9fb5220e1c24ec2d6357056

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $134,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $150,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,358 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	17c	21,182$3,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,586.13	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	14c	14,485$1,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,978.19	6,217	45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L	-33.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes	17c	2,843$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.38	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes	18c	2,834$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.12	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.30per pick	33cpaid	+109.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes	18c	2,032$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.83	157	48.4%76 W · 81 L	+13.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	10c	1,964$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.73	4,874	41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	18c	1,321$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.8	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes	18c	1,206$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.08	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes	12c	1,056$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.87	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	18c	935$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.3	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes	18c	900$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	543	28.2%153 W · 390 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	15c	851.11$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.65	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes	10c	775.72$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.16	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes	19c	671.63$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.61	194	26.3%51 W · 143 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0126…e11abacked Yes	20c	601$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42f3…1e83backed Yes	6c	568.32$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.1	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	19c	548.44$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.29	690	42.2%291 W · 399 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes	15c	499.94$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.99	306	24.5%75 W · 231 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	18c	465$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.7	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes	13c	461.54$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed Yes	8c	458.45$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.68	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes	19c	400$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	399	48.4%193 W · 206 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes	14c	338.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	72	27.8%20 W · 52 L	-11.2wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	9c	337.86$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.7	427	40.3%172 W · 255 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd665…ecc8backed Yes	15c	336.73$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	19c	329$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.51	395	32.9%130 W · 265 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes	11c	312.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.92	264	30.7%81 W · 183 L	-21.7wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes	14c	302$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.26	250	52%130 W · 120 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	88	36.4%32 W · 56 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes	16c	289$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.64	165	48.5%80 W · 85 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	83	36.1%30 W · 53 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb39d…b695backed Yes	15c	266.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.14per pick	34cpaid	+145.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes	18c	216$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0141…c2dabacked Yes	14c	192.86$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	11c	180.98$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.59	557	44.7%249 W · 308 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes	18c	179.56$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.32	191	28.8%55 W · 136 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes	16c	162.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	59	20.3%12 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fe3…4766backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…e54bbacked Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf1…1368backed Yes	19c	126.32$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	19c	121.05$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	181	24.9%45 W · 136 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb47a…7418backed Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes	11c	101.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	263	19.8%52 W · 211 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3902…43f8backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+50%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	452	24.8%112 W · 340 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1920…624abacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc513…ffe7backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	63	27%17 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	317	46.1%146 W · 171 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4e…6e96backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Yes	18c	84.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c21…8f96backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes	17c	80.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.67	462	36.1%167 W · 295 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes	18c	73.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…cae1backed Yes	18c	72.37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.03	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ca…dbe7backed Yes	18c	71.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes	16c	66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	123	24.4%30 W · 93 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes	18c	61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fb…b328backed Yes	18c	61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.98	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Yes	18c	56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	282	46.1%130 W · 152 L	-12.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1861…d25abacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b02…ae87backed No	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07eb…95a8backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No	79c	14.19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.98	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11?this page
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?Yes won
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event