TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd665…ecc8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT4924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$39.82
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$38.94
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.3
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+426.3%+$310.36
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+400%+$400
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$59.99
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+316.7%+$180.12
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$142.31
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.28
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+176.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+161.8%+$99.51
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+303.7%+$124.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+222.6%+$147.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$52.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.