TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Panthers, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,051,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,073,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,051,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Islanders37c275,736$102,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173,336.5848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Panthers58c235,974$136,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,843.9619848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9848…9e20backed Panthers0c141,133$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Islanders43c130,000$56,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,699.8267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers57c80,187$46,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,032.2161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Panthers56c43,734$24,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,491.2615054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Islanders42c40,476$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,476.1924349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers73c40,114$29,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,323.291,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Panthers57c32,712$18,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,645.956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Islanders42c16,689$7,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,679.5410050%50 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Islanders39c15,794$6,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,695.3851045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders42c15,434$6,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,878.51,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Panthers66c13,327$8,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,74340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Islanders45c12,501$5,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,927.1939344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x419b…0944backed Islanders45c10,426$4,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,734.152250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Islanders43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Panthers53c10,000$5,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,334.951233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Panthers73c9,649$7,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,043.8851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers55c9,472$5,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,254.081,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Islanders44c9,331$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,225.242951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Panthers57c8,000$4,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5809752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Panthers55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders42c7,340$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,257.4938748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Panthers56c5,596$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.881030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers58c5,228$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.51,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Panthers58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9006640.9%27 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Panthers58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Panthers58c4,310$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers55c4,300$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.8889547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Islanders32c4,206$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,875.3589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Islanders46c4,195$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.532,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9939752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers31c3,856$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.7289636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Panthers58c3,813$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.9321755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Panthers56c3,762$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,118.796262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders41c3,535$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.4860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Panthers74c3,506$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.76657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Islanders43c3,488$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.3718258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Panthers58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Panthers57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Islanders46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Islanders43c2,907$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.9828152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Panthers49c2,897$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.7530259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Panthers48c2,710$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.4375251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Panthers58c2,600$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50844551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Panthers57c2,516$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.445751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Panthers57c2,501$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.3327243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Islanders43c2,400$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36822946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Panthers56c2,300$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28883652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Islanders41c2,197$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.931,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders47c2,127$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.3157157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0b…3689backed Panthers56c2,101$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.611250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Panthers57c2,090$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.1966552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Islanders42c2,047$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.2748549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2204…814abacked Islanders45c1,973$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Islanders31c1,961$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.6727150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Islanders48c1,917$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.42387%20 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+52%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders43c1,912$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.9391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panthers57c1,882$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.3543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Panthers57c1,860$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Panthers58c1,822$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.561,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Islanders44c1,742$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.067652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Panthers58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x826c…b26fbacked Islanders45c1,578$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.782462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Islanders40c1,489$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.6411950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7837…40f1backed Panthers57c1,347$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7681533.3%5 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Islanders69c1,331$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.7952172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Panthers58c1,331$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.9861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Islanders46c1,288$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.481,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Islanders42c1,204$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.3284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Islanders43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.798756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19f…d8b2backed Panthers56c1,161$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Islanders34c1,130$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.4982043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Islanders40c1,110$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.5421555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Panthers56c1,093$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.0129146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Panthers57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9921849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Islanders47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5306550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Panthers54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406262.9%39 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Islanders44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5609157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Islanders43c999.3$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.61,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Islanders57c973.03$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.8825635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Panthers20c963.97$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7343742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Panthers57c929.82$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53016756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Panthers56c904$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.245435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Islanders45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49522352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Panthers58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa948…b032backed Panthers58c830$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.440%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd325…d6d1backed Islanders43c820$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3287…3dc3backed Islanders43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f6f…2390backed Panthers58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…b24abacked Panthers58c790$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Islanders45c782.43$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.511,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Islanders41c771.52$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.948837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Islanders43c769$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.3326551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfce…3440backed Islanders43c750$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Islanders43c739.53$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.533551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Islanders43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3998060%48 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.