NHL · resolved market
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea37b2c2d5efed53409c2cb9015ebb9a3ae722247ad8e19d5d8c3752fd9308ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Panthers, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Panthers | 36c | 2,535$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.13 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders | 77c | 2,257$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.75 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Islanders | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.97 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Panthers | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Islanders | 66c | 585.8$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 74c | 403.87$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Panthers | 36c | 381.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Islanders | 61c | 342.53$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Panthers | 33c | 258.15$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Panthers | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Panthers | 36c | 191$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Panthers | 31c | 180.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Islanders | 67c | 165.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Islanders | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Islanders | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Islanders | 67c | 148.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Panthers | 33c | 148.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Panthers | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…b711backed Panthers | 30c | 141.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Islanders | 66c | 119.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Islanders | 68c | 117.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Panthers | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Islanders | 67c | 105.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Islanders | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers | 34c | 97.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Islanders | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Islanders | 50c | 87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Panthers | 34c | 86.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 42c | 77.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Panthers | 50c | 76.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Panthers | 41c | 60.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432f…0b4cbacked Islanders | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Islanders | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Panthers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Panthers | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Panthers | 33c | 47.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Islanders | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Panthers | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Islanders | 64c | 39.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Panthers | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Panthers | 35c | 38.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders | 73c | 38.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Islanders | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Islanders | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Islanders | 73c | 31.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Islanders | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Panthers | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Islanders | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Panthers | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Islanders | 49c | 25.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Islanders | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Islanders | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Islanders | 67c | 22.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Islanders | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Panthers | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…05b5backed Islanders | 64c | 17.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.