NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0d562ab408b48cbaf60ef3c0c511e03e86ca9c98b62246ff155ee9d2a3b9226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 45c | 2,710$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.62 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 2,142$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.96 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 57c | 880.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 818.35$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.49 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 42c | 429.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 51c | 399.13$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 70c | 373.21$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 33c | 304.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 42c | 273.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 238.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 58c | 226.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 58c | 206.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 43c | 187.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808d…f5debacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 65c | 161.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 57c | 111.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Under | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 102.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 38c | 98.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…c672backed Over | 58c | 91.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…74b3backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 80.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Under | 46c | 73.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 66.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 52c | 57.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 45c | 53.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 53.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 58c | 52.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Over | 58c | 51.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 58c | 50.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…20c0backed Over | 57c | 43.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f7f0backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Over | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Over | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 42c | 25.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 45c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 58c | 21.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Over | 65c | 20.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5this page
- Panthers vs. IslandersIslanders won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.