TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x913f…916d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT5657.1%32 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$5.2
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$14.72
Blue Jackets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42%+$10.92
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$17.58
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56%+$11.18
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.02
Hurricanes vs. Flamesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.66
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.87
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$9.99
Hurricanes vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.38
Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.05
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$59.99
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Lightning vs. Jetsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bruins vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.98
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.85
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+752.8%+$174.48
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.81
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$36.15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.7
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$47.37
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.74
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$63.51
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+707.2%+$284.62
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$37.85
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$64.47
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49.44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.22
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+45.2%+$8.26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.23
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 125.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.7
Tulane Green Wave vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19.22
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.75
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$65.53
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44.65
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$12.56
North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$6.39
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$16.43
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+252%+$50.41
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Game Handicap: GAM (-2.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+2.5)backed Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.8%+$11.37
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+348.3%+$69.66
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.7%+$20.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.