UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc16d2be3e1efff88b48b11873523f326a3c7d8077a197dd49128602826f98f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Reyesof Silva de Andrade, Reyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Reyes | 70c | 60,394$42,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,284.34 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Silva de Andrade | 31c | 60,017$18,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,405.05 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Silva de Andrade | 30c | 25,075$7,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,622.63 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Reyes | 69c | 20,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Silva de Andrade | 30c | 11,225$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.14 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Reyes | 69c | 10,870$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.57 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Silva de Andrade | 31c | 8,203$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.86 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Reyes | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Reyes | 69c | 6,862$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.22 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Reyes | 69c | 6,302$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.69 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Reyes | 68c | 3,688$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.26 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Silva de Andrade | 30c | 3,010$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.13 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Silva de Andrade | 11c | 2,998$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.52 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Silva de Andrade | 27c | 2,955$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.36 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Silva de Andrade | 57c | 2,749$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Silva de Andrade | 1c | 2,695$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Reyes | 67c | 2,330$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.82 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Silva de Andrade | 32c | 2,246$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Silva de Andrade | 33c | 2,211$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Silva de Andrade | 31c | 2,208$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.4 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Reyes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Silva de Andrade | 60c | 1,852$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.3 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Silva de Andrade | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.98 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Silva de Andrade | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Reyes | 71c | 1,441$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.11 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Reyes | 77c | 1,335$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.95 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Reyes | 68c | 1,177$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.19 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Reyes | 46c | 1,132$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.21 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Silva de Andrade | 32c | 1,100$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Reyes | 41c | 1,025$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.07 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Reyes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Silva de Andrade | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Silva de Andrade | 31c | 999.94$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Silva de Andrade | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…398dbacked Silva de Andrade | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Silva de Andrade | 17c | 875.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Silva de Andrade | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Reyes | 70c | 702.97$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.69 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Silva de Andrade | 32c | 698.05$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Reyes | 44c | 675$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Silva de Andrade | 16c | 627.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Reyes | 69c | 609.04$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Silva de Andrade | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Silva de Andrade | 32c | 562.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…c1d1backed Silva de Andrade | 3c | 532.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Silva de Andrade | 31c | 520$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Reyes | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Silva de Andrade | 31c | 500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Reyes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Silva de Andrade | 27c | 476.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Reyes | 69c | 427$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Reyes | 69c | 412.64$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Silva de Andrade | 31c | 400.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Reyes | 40c | 330$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Silva de Andrade | 31c | 325$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Silva de Andrade | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Reyes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Reyes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Silva de Andrade | 16c | 283.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Silva de Andrade | 17c | 274.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Reyes | 44c | 270$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Reyes | 42c | 245$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Silva de Andrade | 55c | 241.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.82 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Silva de Andrade | 32c | 221.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed Silva de Andrade | 27c | 219.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…41d5backed Silva de Andrade | 23c | 217.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Reyes | 71c | 210.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Reyes | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cce…13ffbacked Silva de Andrade | 32c | 162$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Reyes | 47c | 149.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Reyes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…089ebacked Reyes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Reyes | 69c | 144$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Reyes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Reyes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d86…eeefbacked Reyes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Silva de Andrade | 42c | 134.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Silva de Andrade | 31c | 127.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Reyes | 69c | 123.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Reyes | 77c | 123.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Reyes | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Reyes | 66c | 114.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Reyes | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…58e9backed Silva de Andrade | 27c | 112.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…11dfbacked Reyes | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…3a7dbacked Reyes | 69c | 108.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Reyes | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reyes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Silva de Andrade | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Silva de Andrade | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…9aa2backed Reyes | 71c | 91.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Silva de Andrade | 32c | 89.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Silva de Andrade | 32c | 86.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…0b4bbacked Reyes | 68c | 85.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…e0e7backed Silva de Andrade | 60c | 83.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…3f76backed Silva de Andrade | 42c | 81.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Reyes | 68c | 79.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…3dfabacked Reyes | 68c | 73.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…f4e2backed Reyes | 68c | 73.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 225 | 68.9%155 W · 70 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x790d…608fbacked Silva de Andrade | 33c | 70.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Douglas Silva de Andrade win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Javier Reyes win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.