TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1375…4c69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
279
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST11839.8%47 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$438.15
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$188.6
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,092.07
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+111.6%+$167.43
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$94.3
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$316.67
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+115.2%+$552.84
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+150%+$450
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$416.95
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$340.74
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$88.39
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT7040%28 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.76
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$71.39
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.01
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$91.72
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.34
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.19
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Esteban Ribovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Ethyn Ewing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$105.67
Will Chris Duncan win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.6
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.84
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$119.94
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Amanda Lemos win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.51
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Harry Hardwick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Oumar Sy win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Myktybek Orolbai win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Myktybek Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$311.82
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$922.22
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$530
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+222.2%+$117.16
Will Team Spirit win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$434.9
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$563
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+167.8%+$251.76
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$213.22
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$61.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$919
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,250
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+300%+$225
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+244.8%+$97.93
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+113.7%+$3,434.62
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$255.56
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.4%+$106.86
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST3363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+163.2%+$203.95
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,086Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+27.7%+$577.79
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$781.88
Spread: Eagles (-5.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$281.94
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Eagles (-11.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$402.86
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$157.89
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.35
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$48.75
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
49ers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Cardinals vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LAR vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+281.7%+$214.95
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$142.31
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$425.93
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+100%+$75
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+47.8%+$215.06
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+245.6%+$98.24
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$51.11
Ohio vs. Buffalobacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$18.07
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.