NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d9e91002bd47bd5d0ac799a426ce38771a9cee370ea97072b652032f6680d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Mavericks, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Mavericks | 43c | 29,220$12,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,450 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…a744backed 76ers | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…1a5dbacked Mavericks | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Mavericks | 42c | 11,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.98 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 58c | 10,103$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…43eabacked Mavericks | 47c | 9,600$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed 76ers | 57c | 9,314$5,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.86 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…4b6abacked 76ers | 53c | 9,300$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Mavericks | 46c | 7,647$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.51 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 61c | 6,660$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 57c | 4,621$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 58c | 4,465$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.24 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…c3aebacked Mavericks | 46c | 3,838$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…50c4backed 76ers | 54c | 3,656$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 47c | 3,385$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers | 58c | 2,802$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed 76ers | 57c | 2,605$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.15 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…7631backed 76ers | 54c | 2,218$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…b1a2backed Mavericks | 46c | 2,165$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.15 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…f5bfbacked 76ers | 54c | 1,940$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…0f18backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,894$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,820$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.2 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122f…cac0backed 76ers | 54c | 1,584$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5ab5backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed 76ers | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed 76ers | 48c | 1,214$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.96 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Mavericks | 43c | 1,144$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.71 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed 76ers | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 57c | 990$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed 76ers | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 57c | 400$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed 76ers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa006…6a1abacked 76ers | 54c | 295.36$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Mavericks | 42c | 295.24$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…cb6ebacked Mavericks | 46c | 273.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked 76ers | 52c | 192.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 55c | 190.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Mavericks | 45c | 189.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed 76ers | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 48c | 174.56$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed 76ers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…4085backed 76ers | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…7e8cbacked 76ers | 57c | 149.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Mavericks | 42c | 149.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed 76ers | 58c | 149.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe972…4cfbbacked Mavericks | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 51c | 141.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…d1c2backed Mavericks | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks | 46c | 127.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…7483backed Mavericks | 43c | 122.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Mavericks | 42c | 102.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed 76ers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed 76ers | 58c | 98.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks | 48c | 93.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 45c | 91.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed 76ers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed 76ers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed 76ers | 58c | 82.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…cb14backed 76ers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 57c | 76.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…1dc8backed 76ers | 56c | 71.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 57c | 61.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…668ebacked Mavericks | 42c | 58.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed 76ers | 54c | 55.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Mavericks | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…5f6cbacked Mavericks | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…0899backed 76ers | 60c | 43.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed 76ers | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed 76ers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…7d46backed 76ers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed 76ers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…8580backed 76ers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…e6fbbacked Mavericks | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…0e37backed 76ers | 59c | 29.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Mavericks | 44c | 27.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed Mavericks | 42c | 24.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed 76ers | 48c | 24.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 46c | 24.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked 76ers | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked 76ers | 59c | 21.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…55b8backed 76ers | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…53bcbacked 76ers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked 76ers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Mavericks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.