TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Over51c60,038$30,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,916.7817031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Under50c11,990$5,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,995.1423747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c9,000$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,409.962,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c8,587$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,207.41,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1602,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c6,095$2,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.2342648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c5,190$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.474,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under52c4,653$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.9250347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under47c3,831$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.552,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…2bfcbacked Over50c3,753$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f6…c914backed Under50c3,720$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over49c3,540$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.454456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c3,096$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5791,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under48c2,800$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45625452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…661ebacked Under50c2,402$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59e0…6567backed Over50c2,401$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…311dbacked Under50c2,102$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb11e…8554backed Over50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00019351.8%100 W · 93 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1050…0dd6backed Under50c1,762$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…c31ebacked Over50c1,760$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,567$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.682,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c1,280$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c1,127$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Under49c1,049$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.98850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2399backed Over51c794$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.941643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6da…235ebacked Under50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…bf14backed Over51c740$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf11c…654fbacked Under51c740$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under48c627$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.042,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under52c612.38$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under48c544.3$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over49c503.3$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6227735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2dc0…fe28backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19215844.3%70 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca2…d740backed Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under47c380$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.41,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c9…8407backed Under50c372.55$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fe…a661backed Over50c344.2$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Over6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1240952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over49c290$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.162347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3327161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6824556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7422…e383backed Over60c166.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Under47c122$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.667851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee33…9a55backed Under55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.093265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…629fbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4874547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0437352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1520847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.157746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Over51c90.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4653539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2438347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Under51c73.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.028347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c63.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over49c57.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3313844.2%61 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34e8…cff9backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d3…420ebacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1db…4877backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d45…55e9backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10fc…aa69backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.754751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…7f27backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa033…3be4backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…52e6backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over34c49.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.663,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Under49c47.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.288336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over47c44.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba7…d27abacked Under50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.811656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Under52c39.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1915355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over51c30.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.715653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Under51c28.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8556454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under49c28.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5745651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under47c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8437949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee47…0ac3backed Over49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Under49c22.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.66253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Under53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.759047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.