TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee33…9a55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST3265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$337.28
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.84
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$68.97
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+47.8%+$31.05
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$25.39
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$30
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37.9%+$11.42
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+45.4%+$106
Hornets vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$89.1
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$24
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+74.4%+$28.58
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$51.88
Spurs vs. Pacers: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+89.5%+$35.8
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+39.8%+$119.5
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$140.76
76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.09
76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$91.03
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.7%+$55.05
Rockets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.2%+$47.25
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+30.8%+$38.45
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.4%+$70.43
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37%+$37.85
LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33%+$49.47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$301
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+101.1%+$122.51
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$72.82
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$153.48
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$48.65
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+87.6%+$11.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: yache123 vs Veroja (BO5)backed yache123 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.88
Dota 2: yache123 vs Veroja - Game 3 Winnerbacked Veroja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $195?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+150%+$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.