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Lol · resolved market

LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof DN Freecs, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43d4…13a2backed DN Freecs25c22,676$5,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,633.537839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Dplus KIA75c19,545$14,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,886.284562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3ac…88c9backed DN Freecs13c14,571$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.813551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Dplus KIA74c10,724$7,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.3542940.1%172 W · 257 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed DN Freecs27c5,000$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37023547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed DN Freecs0c4,478$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6689810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN Freecs12c4,084$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.211,27137.6%478 W · 793 L+33.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DN Freecs25c3,690$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.373,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked DN Freecs24c3,669$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.5111548.7%56 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed DN Freecs2c2,681$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.417919.7%77 W · 714 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked DN Freecs22c1,982$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0885140.8%347 W · 504 L-40.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked DN Freecs26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39024529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed DN Freecs7c1,372$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Dplus KIA74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3525560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Dplus KIA78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0559658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1e3…358ebacked Dplus KIA78c1,253$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.917647.4%36 W · 40 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed DN Freecs24c1,199$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4518741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed DN Freecs10c1,156$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.262433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed DN Freecs13c1,154$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6331644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5d…bc81backed DN Freecs26c1,106$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.577250%36 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed DN Freecs7c1,015$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8326346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Dplus KIA76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,03052.3%539 W · 491 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked DN Freecs12c858.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Dplus KIA78c782.96$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.461,20754%652 W · 555 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe971…e480backed Dplus KIA76c781.8$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed DN Freecs24c776$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2475342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Dplus KIA77c770.12$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN Freecs22c749.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.992,37032%758 W · 1,612 L+42.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36c…440abacked Dplus KIA76c700$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1686653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c09…e714backed Dplus KIA77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.357950.6%40 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed Dplus KIA77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98a…0550backed Dplus KIA75c544.25$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0610663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed DN Freecs24c500$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.546033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed DN Freecs20c500$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed DN Freecs21c479.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.270443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DN Freecs23c423$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.931,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed DN Freecs24c420.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd3…fefabacked Dplus KIA73c411.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.317460.8%45 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DN Freecs7c398.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.632,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed DN Freecs17c354.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6043739.6%173 W · 264 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Dplus KIA79c331.47$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6133456%187 W · 147 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed DN Freecs19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5774462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0340…f4d0backed Dplus KIA76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed DN Freecs27c300$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,06328.4%302 W · 761 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28f…23cabacked Dplus KIA80c292.62$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.522045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Dplus KIA78c291.13$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1314153.9%76 W · 65 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed DN Freecs12c276.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0650643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Dplus KIA75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6747951.4%246 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Dplus KIA78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.411,18948.1%572 W · 617 L-2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed DN Freecs27c253.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.435860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…aeabbacked DN Freecs21c252.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed DN Freecs23c244.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4669441.4%287 W · 407 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked DN Freecs28c239.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.553231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe949…33bebacked DN Freecs20c232.4$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4612854.7%70 W · 58 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed DN Freecs19c223.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.471,02948%494 W · 535 L+27.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dplus KIA77c205.93$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.361,60153.7%859 W · 742 L+55.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked DN Freecs7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1456317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf7e…a3e6backed DN Freecs10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203751.4%19 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+47.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked DN Freecs12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2472234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08d…580fbacked DN Freecs25c192.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.631070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed DN Freecs25c173$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2544142.9%189 W · 252 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Dplus KIA73c163.55$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1611056.4%62 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9906…3055backed DN Freecs24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365139.2%20 W · 31 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4421…80d2backed DN Freecs26c144.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.21242.4%3 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-95.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x308e…90c9backed DN Freecs23c140.61$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee33…9a55backed Dplus KIA73c140.19$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.851560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf9…1e87backed Dplus KIA72c138.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3850058.8%294 W · 206 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df0…96a6backed Dplus KIA68c117$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4410761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f80…e222backed DN Freecs26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308433.3%28 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3af…aca1backed DN Freecs18c112.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012948.8%63 W · 66 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Dplus KIA71c106.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9321137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0f…18e8backed Dplus KIA79c103.2$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fca…2e16backed DN Freecs26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b27…add3backed DN Freecs23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x899c…9311backed Dplus KIA72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2812445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Dplus KIA78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2243148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x968f…2a1fbacked Dplus KIA75c96.65$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1622646.5%105 W · 121 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Dplus KIA78c86.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9515756.1%88 W · 69 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccbf…b43cbacked DN Freecs32c80.94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6916…7345backed DN Freecs25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019541%80 W · 115 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Dplus KIA75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017556.6%99 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN Freecs15c71.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781,63840.2%659 W · 979 L+49.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c57…5cf1backed DN Freecs22c71.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ef…184dbacked Dplus KIA76c65.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7517953.1%95 W · 84 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d6…532cbacked DN Freecs28c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.074143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e36…83c4backed Dplus KIA77c64.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.982272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked Dplus KIA74c60.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8540445.8%185 W · 219 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bc…7d58backed Dplus KIA73c57.53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.534942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked Dplus KIA72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5610059%59 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b71…0e06backed Dplus KIA77c51.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.741450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked DN Freecs20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed DN Freecs23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.553347.7%254 W · 279 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f8…e5d0backed DN Freecs27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4b…f948backed DN Freecs24c49.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa08a…ad51backed Dplus KIA79c49.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.376959.4%41 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1c…f533backed Dplus KIA77c41.92$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.641060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd09f…6dcfbacked DN Freecs25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6627…000cbacked Dplus KIA74c39.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.292254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Dplus KIA80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Dplus KIA73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.115155.6%84 W · 67 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.