TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b27…add3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT11943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.15
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$77
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+122.2%+$82.5
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$130
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+150%+$60
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+153.2%+$121
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$130
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$183.99
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$198
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+577.2%+$255.7
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$26.1
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 3 United States?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+47.3%+$33.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.