TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,840,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,810,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,840,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,730 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Under46c1,855,000$846,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008,581.262548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over55c807,446$447,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447,321.391,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198a…6762backed Under52c739,838$382,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357,656.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…e4d0backed Under51c554,736$282,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,820.881376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed Over49c500,000$245,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244,999.971637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed Over53c448,021$236,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236,921.272360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Under46c406,331$188,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217,535.086448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over43c249,057$106,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,340.482,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over53c240,342$127,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,381.348440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over49c228,535$111,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,696.820844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under45c196,405$88,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,558.4732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cb…e9fdbacked Under44c189,077$83,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,870.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Over54c150,000$81,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,499.995749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over53c103,331$54,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,622.891,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,00016331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under44c100,000$44,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,999.777949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c92,064$40,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,570.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c86,291$42,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,676.872,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Over52c83,681$43,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,514.128349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5848…a698backed Over49c79,999$39,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,199.751866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over56c60,485$33,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,871.362218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c58,160$27,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,672.0977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over54c54,636$29,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,503.524235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.8314349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c48,427$23,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,344.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over53c48,263$25,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,579.1842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under50c43,658$21,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,823.313742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over57c40,600$23,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,12417840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over49c34,050$16,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,59413543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c32,211$16,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,348.092,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over51c32,000$16,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,3202842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under50c30,000$14,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,049.9820044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Over53c28,460$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Over55c24,552$13,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,503.834341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Over48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over50c20,459$10,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,222.0810849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over48c20,369$9,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,824.6284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.9922846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe733…8ed4backed Over51c20,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.981637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over48c18,921$9,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,125.3548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Over48c18,253$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,8001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over47c18,113$8,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,513.3174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ac…0118backed Over26c16,347$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,173.55175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-82.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over53c15,391$8,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,157.2311642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Under47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9504040%16 W · 24 L-7.3wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Over55c14,545$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0002532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over52c14,322$7,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,377.51735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over56c14,286$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c12,673$4,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,322.413,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over56c12,500$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0009846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c12,483$5,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,975.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under50c12,340$6,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,222.3164446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over53c12,000$6,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,36029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under51c11,886$6,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,804.3222450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over56c10,447$5,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,871.2963255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over54c10,440$5,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,637.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Over52c10,289$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,400.2938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over48c10,257$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,923.29647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Over48c10,100$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8487448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90017632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Over52c9,680$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Over54c9,110$4,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,876.210152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over32c8,614$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.333321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xeabd…8559backed Over48c8,471$4,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,06620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over53c8,361$4,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,43211963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over54c7,407$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c7,249$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,479.555653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec6…eda9backed Over48c7,228$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5002725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Over51c6,254$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,189.718251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d2…1b70backed Over55c6,040$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3158243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over7c5,957$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.1534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over55c5,836$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.721,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57b…8acbbacked Over56c5,500$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.1512554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34e7…0558backed Over51c5,214$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6502828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over53c5,200$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over53c5,059$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7007943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7504367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45024144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Over50c4,896$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.833330.3%10 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+79.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over48c4,763$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.0524950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Over48c4,691$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.683250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under47c4,678$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.2936250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under49c4,641$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.1724058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Over41c4,510$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.572839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c4,439$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.671,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…9b10backed Over50c4,300$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1477537.3%28 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.678835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…160dbacked Over48c4,140$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98750%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under46c4,095$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.3629232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under50c4,093$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.4313857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.