TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c121,776$47,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,719.834,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c55,628$32,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,681.583,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under43c21,121$9,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,109.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over65c13,045$8,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5042,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c11,563$7,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,806.472,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under33c10,036$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,724.2520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over36c9,813$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.522,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c9,443$6,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,158.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c5,175$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.772,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under32c4,510$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,076.241,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over68c4,430$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over65c4,307$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.722,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6642…eea1backed Over71c4,177$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.251533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c3,224$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.532,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe055…637abacked Over65c3,223$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.173751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c3,158$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under32c3,143$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.172,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Over67c2,878$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.276756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd2…43f3backed Over64c2,800$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7922951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over36c2,639$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.852,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over35c2,569$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.21,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0be…9164backed Over20c2,459$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under35c2,324$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.0184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa90d…ef0ebacked Over68c2,279$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.74057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over67c2,245$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under35c2,120$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.5448152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over66c2,091$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3856152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over56c2,011$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.4358642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under33c2,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.881,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over68c1,916$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30015650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over69c1,812$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eef…850fbacked Over68c1,768$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.22334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over67c1,642$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004065%26 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over65c1,627$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Over18c1,623$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Over69c1,623$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1203470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b57…5d9abacked Over67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5c95backed Over33c1,439$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.414035%14 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under32c1,425$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.491,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over65c1,239$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.119463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under40c1,198$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.9351250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under35c1,196$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.635424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under35c1,178$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.593,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa112…353cbacked Over67c1,163$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2770…290bbacked Over68c1,142$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.3711251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over63c1,124$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over66c1,049$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.883,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over29c1,028$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under37c1,001$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.688838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Over68c999.98$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9910359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under39c999.97$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.9864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c3…38bcbacked Over65c951.57$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.523046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over68c882.35$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under33c861.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.012,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under35c815.88$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.461,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over63c776.64$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.415856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under39c772.83$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.0860752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb154…4200backed Over66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over40c750$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.54139%16 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f92…dec0backed Over66c736.45$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.062152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53b4…cef0backed Over69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…ccf0backed Over69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003560%21 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b77…b4e1backed Over68c718.56$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.627424.3%18 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdf…3b6cbacked Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed9…e266backed Over68c688.26$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+105.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under44c658.5$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over40c648.83$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5514323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under34c584.27$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.641,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under34c575.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Over68c565$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.2944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f4…a47fbacked Over54c538.56$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.191040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Over68c523.89$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.53333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8f…761dbacked Over35c521.05$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.375648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Over67c499.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.996653%35 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3344…cabcbacked Over27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-68.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb50f…2c5dbacked Under32c499.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9711443%49 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b85…fbb7backed Over70c493.48$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.243452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da0…b331backed Over63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0655…ea73backed Over65c461.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.292544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under33c441.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.183,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed Over68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Over65c433.43$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75cc…51a3backed Over69c420.63$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2312032.5%39 W · 81 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over65c400$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.911,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1884348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over68c362.31$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3710051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3659…be76backed Over70c359.41$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503959%23 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be0…0154backed Over68c350$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over29c349.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under33c334.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.461,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d82…ee0dbacked Over50c319.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f35cbacked Over69c316.01$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf90c…0850backed Over65c308$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.26445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Under40c304$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4424541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac8…8fc4backed Over66c303.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d3…df21backed Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e65…88c4backed Over67c301.45$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b72…3ce9backed Over65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953372.7%24 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a20…394fbacked Over67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.