TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,560

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,395 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0193…bad1backed Under38c1,053$400 inWon+$652.923551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Over62c894.86$555 inLost-$554.8118248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under36c468.61$168 inWon+$300.933,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c450.66$172 inWon+$278.292,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe633…3a32backed Over65c252.26$164 inLost-$164.363246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ed…61c2backed Over63c250.94$158 inLost-$158.092650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over61c244.56$150 inLost-$15022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c223.95$143 inLost-$142.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c201.34$125 inLost-$124.62,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b32…90bdbacked Under35c186.68$65 inWon+$121.3419944.2%88 W · 111 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under40c133.56$53 inWon+$80.6626537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Under49c105$51 inWon+$53.5520850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f6f…cb80backed Over51c100$51 inLost-$511844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe70e…2ddbbacked Over65c100$65 inLost-$653033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a7…7eb0backed Under70c83.97$58 inWon+$25.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+59.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over65c68$44 inLost-$44.220149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2908…faefbacked Over65c61.54$40 inLost-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x455d…6011backed Over61c50.43$31 inLost-$30.767057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d2…2286backed Under39c49.99$19 inWon+$30.51040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over70c42.86$30 inLost-$3018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…847cbacked Over61c40.98$25 inLost-$2510234.3%35 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7a5…4382backed Over65c40.43$26 inLost-$26.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5080…d89abacked Over65c40$26 inLost-$263450%17 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under69c36.97$25 inWon+$11.491,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x734e…0ae1backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost-$205949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b7…1c12backed Over65c30.77$20 inLost-$209844.9%44 W · 54 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd781…1eb6backed Over62c24.19$15 inLost-$15540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe1f…e50dbacked Over61c17.77$11 inLost-$10.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.