TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$228,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6149…b48cbacked Over26c30,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,799.954535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under74c23,946$17,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,225.9622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under77c23,841$18,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,445.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c22,954$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.763,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Over18c13,877$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.35387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under72c10,514$7,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.612,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fc…6ea8backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-56.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed Under74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.969845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over27c6,442$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.32,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over27c6,215$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.882,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Over30c5,339$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over9c4,000$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…062dbacked Over26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Over29c3,421$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over27c2,796$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Over30c2,656$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Under71c2,262$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.9614860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Over27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over17c1,690$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.154,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under72c1,360$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.613,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over25c1,312$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0431156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over16c1,088$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.792,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under72c997.75$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under75c862.56$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.821,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Over16c809.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.75424.1%13 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over4c800$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6567…50d6backed Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under73c722.51$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.516765.7%44 W · 23 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under74c722.43$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8326155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over27c716.36$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.711,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under71c660.78$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.762,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under74c624.81$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4512753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under77c616.59$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.691,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…a750backed Over28c571.43$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over7c564.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.392,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over27c551.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under74c535.28$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6348152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over19c505.71$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.072,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14526921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6072…a182backed Under73c476$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.524158.5%24 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under72c474.1$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under74c406.73$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7292038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…34d5backed Under71c384.99$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.653946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked Under75c372$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…8656backed Over26c336.42$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.472450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under74c324.05$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over30c288.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.381,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa410…f61fbacked Over28c269.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.584344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284f…f863backed Over20c253.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.453366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf967…69ccbacked Over30c201.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f49…e67bbacked Over25c198.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ec…1481backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1d…793dbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c182.67$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.443,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under74c177.23$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.362,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under75c176$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.32,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d9…499cbacked Over29c167.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.462010%2 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-76.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over29c165.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over20c163$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.891,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066d…8e11backed Over27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa855…3a4ebacked Over27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405532.7%18 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over26c123.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0926537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0004…703ebacked Over28c114.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeac…4170backed Under72c111.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.275736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6938…d435backed Over28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7116…562abacked Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020339.4%80 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…1538backed Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302714.8%4 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-64.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under74c103.12$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4247744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715043.3%65 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under71c98.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5916861.3%103 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac2c…9de2backed Under75c91.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb276…3b11backed Over29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252010%2 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over28c82.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8f2…5782backed Over25c80.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over30c79.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.827742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed Under75c74.33$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5810844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under74c72.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0369744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under72c69.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5329154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa31…2217backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208438.1%32 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ef…e9d8backed Over25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.577245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over28c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.791,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…236ebacked Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe465…7f38backed Over29c65.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over29c64.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4311431.6%36 W · 78 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a4…dbadbacked Over29c55.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817d…2527backed Over28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e36…8463backed Over25c53.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.412119%4 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ad…2161backed Over29c51.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514526.2%38 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed Over29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick24cpaid-83.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd232…b817backed Over28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413144.3%58 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.