TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,722 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over34c2,848$967 inLost-$967.472,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under66c1,708$1,131 inWon+$577.143,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked Under66c633.41$418 inWon+$215.361758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under65c575.99$374 inWon+$201.592,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under67c550.15$369 inWon+$181.5526155.2%144 W · 117 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under62c467.74$290 inWon+$177.746765.7%44 W · 23 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over35c428.15$150 inLost-$15022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c66…01d0backed Under66c394.2$260 inWon+$134.033450%17 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2b…3febbacked Over37c271.22$100 inLost-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under63c203.75$129 inWon+$75.062,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over40c124.41$50 inLost-$5024242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d46…1eacbacked Over35c114.29$40 inLost-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under63c96.73$61 inWon+$35.7926537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab53…f5b2backed Over37c91.08$34 inLost-$33.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071c…ffa3backed Over39c76.92$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under79c63.54$50 inWon+$13.5416861.3%103 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1798…3c1cbacked Over39c51.28$20 inLost-$209127.5%25 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc31…3fe8backed Under63c39.99$25 inWon+$14.85569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked Under63c33.73$21 inWon+$12.421752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9575…cd83backed Over50c30$15 inLost-$1511939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c27.18$12 inLost-$11.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under65c26.8$17 inWon+$9.3819257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed Under64c20$13 inWon+$7.23756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under65c19.74$13 inWon+$6.912,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.