Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf22d508a644ea46e25ca43d96e11ffbfbfdbb8eeb5e23d11c680dc6751975e94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 43,493$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,169.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 13c | 4,727$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.6 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4671…da69backed Over | 73c | 3,999$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.29 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 12c | 3,299$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.18 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 17c | 3,017$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.5 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 3c | 2,718$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.4 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 62c | 1,952$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 3c | 1,829$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 33c | 1,104$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 1,066$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.16 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 21c | 972.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Over | 80c | 860.66$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.89 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 4c | 750$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.7 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 52c | 638.36$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked Under | 32c | 620$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 4c | 500$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 3c | 499.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.18 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 71c | 350.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 37c | 310.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.87 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 14c | 303.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.45 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…13a1backed Under | 14c | 240.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dab…07efbacked Under | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 9c | 196.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.88 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 37c | 172.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 70c | 172.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 41c | 171.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 145.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 29c | 141$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 29c | 137.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Over | 72c | 136.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 47c | 107.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 52c | 96.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…8f4fbacked Over | 54c | 88.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca1…ee3fbacked Over | 46c | 84.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…e132backed Over | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…e932backed Over | 71c | 69.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…0da2backed Under | 59c | 68.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…d97ebacked Under | 24c | 58.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Under | 27c | 50.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…0730backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 45c | 48.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…ae21backed Over | 69c | 47.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aac…c78fbacked Under | 48c | 41.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 72c | 41.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Over | 57c | 39.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 33c | 38.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…5368backed Under | 41c | 36.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ee…bc1abacked Under | 34c | 35.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Under | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 240 | 50%120 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a02…65edbacked Under | 77c | 27.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…ddbebacked Over | 75c | 26.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…519dbacked Over | 71c | 21.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…f97cbacked Over | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5this page
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.