TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c76,227$23,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,857.64,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c30,524$18,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,278.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under21c16,202$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,753.32,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under31c8,164$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,650.0720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Over67c7,463$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.994067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under15c5,509$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.943,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over65c5,342$3,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,454.744,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under12c4,758$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.7920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c4,572$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.274,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under11c4,444$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,955.188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over76c3,966$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over56c3,500$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.993917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c3,482$2,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.128,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under33c3,255$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.451,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Over58c3,155$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8308367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under11c2,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under13c1,876$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.431,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under12c1,528$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.383,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over9c1,515$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.662,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d9…26a2backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f6d…f52abacked Over59c1,095$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.311040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under42c999.98$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over66c999.98$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9913155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Over57c782.56$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4464143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under12c758.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under14c740.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.791,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over61c712.41$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.451,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over6c615.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.98321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…f1eabacked Over58c584.46$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbdd…9ba3backed Under32c550.62$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.454228.6%12 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x598c…cc0bbacked Over67c519.87$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.981040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2770…290bbacked Over59c505.9$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4811251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under14c500$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43012056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under13c489.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.3736838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Under43c452.6$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9810252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Over56c449.03$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.4614839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under13c412.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Over45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808747.1%41 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under43c399.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc6d…7aaebacked Over59c386.58$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.083630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over57c360$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.258049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bb…7d97backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over57c351.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under13c350$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over68c349.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.998161.7%50 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…e713backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004542.2%19 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Over58c340.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.569239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002277.3%17 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over74c331.59$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3611147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c2…4765backed Over13c310.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over55c299.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655042%21 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over57c299.98$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9911846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under12c282.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.941,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Over79c252.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1606…9a7cbacked Over60c252.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505637.5%21 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8daf…0f86backed Over80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002560%15 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under13c242.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5848152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6053436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6d…1d9ebacked Over59c229.64$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c223.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.621,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eaa…80dbbacked Over59c220.34$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under74c211.9$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.341444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under11c211.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.081,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Under75c205.91$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.296256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff53…5dd3backed Over68c204.4$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406851.5%35 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under14c201.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Under40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202040%8 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11614427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Over74c199.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.994632.6%15 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0438…cf98backed Over32c187.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609834.7%34 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over59c186.59$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0916544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010550.5%53 W · 52 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over57c176$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.327945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1205…13e2backed Over58c175.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.895653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c94…9939backed Over57c174.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over57c173.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.322,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845b…5c2dbacked Over59c169.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005735.1%20 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ce4…e6ecbacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008842%37 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859e…894fbacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005026%13 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe16…e37abacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbde…4624backed Over59c168.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over59c168$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.125745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be3…6566backed Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…54c9backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under25c161.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.978234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb09a…d6a8backed Over57c159.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919168.1%62 W · 29 L+17.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+42.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2673…7965backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over56c147.63$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6713447%63 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd423…0dacbacked Over29c142.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under13c140$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over9c139$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.952,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under35c138.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.