Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0545a047677b2e2224811d9bcca35753300cc07c5d0db15bd5e03c142957529d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cabo Verdeof Spain, Cabo Verde
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,416,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,421,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,416,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 667 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cabo Verde | 68c | 396,707$271,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,544.88 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Spain | 28c | 269,809$74,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,261.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Cabo Verde | 66c | 200,000$132,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,999.87 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cabo Verde | 64c | 134,696$85,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,852.64 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spain | 36c | 107,628$38,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,797.22 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Spain | 34c | 56,057$19,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,059.43 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spain | 34c | 53,472$18,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,268.14 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Spain | 34c | 50,932$17,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,317.04 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spain | 40c | 50,436$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spain | 35c | 48,181$17,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,087.68 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spain | 38c | 26,447$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cabo Verde | 63c | 25,447$16,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,401.29 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…4789backed Spain | 35c | 21,907$7,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,607.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Spain | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Spain | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Spain | 10c | 19,062$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.8 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cabo Verde | 63c | 18,856$11,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,911.44 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cabo Verde | 64c | 14,678$9,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.08 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Cabo Verde | 64c | 14,284$9,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.31 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cabo Verde | 65c | 12,039$7,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.39 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…0438backed Spain | 31c | 11,666$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.66 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Spain | 35c | 11,110$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.5 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spain | 33c | 10,161$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.74 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spain | 28c | 9,317$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.58 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Cabo Verde | 64c | 8,763$5,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.14 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Spain | 37c | 6,600$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Cabo Verde | 66c | 6,212$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.12 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Cabo Verde | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.92 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ef…1829backed Spain | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cabo Verde | 68c | 5,852$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.3 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Spain | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spain | 30c | 5,256$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.94 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Spain | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Spain | 22c | 4,930$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.9 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Cabo Verde | 65c | 4,885$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.72 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spain | 17c | 4,775$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.43 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spain | 32c | 4,244$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.5 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed Cabo Verde | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…989abacked Spain | 38c | 3,958$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Cabo Verde | 68c | 3,364$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.05 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Cabo Verde | 70c | 3,165$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.57 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…267ebacked Cabo Verde | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed Spain | 32c | 3,041$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Cabo Verde | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spain | 34c | 2,876$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.06 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Spain | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Spain | 23c | 2,847$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.68 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Cabo Verde | 64c | 2,740$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.39 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Spain | 34c | 2,565$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.06 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked Spain | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Cabo Verde | 65c | 2,416$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.39 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cabo Verde | 66c | 2,248$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.33 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Cabo Verde | 66c | 2,186$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.6 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spain | 25c | 2,144$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.71 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spain | 34c | 2,071$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…db5ebacked Spain | 32c | 2,029$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.13 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Cabo Verde | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Spain | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cabo Verde | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Cabo Verde | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cabo Verde | 67c | 1,909$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.97 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Spain | 37c | 1,897$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.38 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cabo Verde | 60c | 1,750$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Spain | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Spain | 25c | 1,694$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.13 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…3ae5backed Cabo Verde | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed Spain | 27c | 1,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Spain | 1c | 1,490$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…5e2abacked Spain | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…50f5backed Spain | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…78f4backed Spain | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d78…c66cbacked Spain | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…f212backed Spain | 33c | 1,326$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.47 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Spain | 36c | 1,292$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.16 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Cabo Verde | 69c | 1,247$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.23 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Spain | 25c | 1,185$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.88 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Spain | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…bd53backed Spain | 22c | 1,156$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…fd40backed Spain | 34c | 1,132$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Spain | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Spain | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Spain | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Cabo Verde | 65c | 1,102$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.55 | 527 | 44.4%234 W · 293 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Cabo Verde | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Cabo Verde | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Cabo Verde | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Cabo Verde | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Spain | 32c | 1,086$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.49 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…a2c9backed Cabo Verde | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Spain | 35c | 1,055$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spain | 35c | 1,035$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.49 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…a11dbacked Spain | 27c | 1,027$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.79 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…20abbacked Spain | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Spain | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spain | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spain | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Cabo Verde | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…432fbacked Spain | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Spain | 34c | 999$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)this page
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Cabo Verde (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Cabo Verde won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Cabo Verde won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.