TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under49c4,444$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.5434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Over47c4,220$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Over51c3,910$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed Under52c3,304$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.831723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c3,045$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.44,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under52c2,727$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.916857.4%39 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c2,704$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under50c2,564$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2824327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c2,139$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over51c1,901$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.546152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Over55c1,684$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9222240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0906…54f4backed Over55c1,122$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6182045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over49c1,067$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5916050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a8…2f0abacked Over55c912.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under46c862.7$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c848.37$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.134,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under50c817.96$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.277653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under48c784.8$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.461,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c714.98$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.973,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c686.59$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.192,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under51c636.25$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012753.5%68 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c592.39$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.142,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6522…15a7backed Over51c539.83$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.17825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bc…e09bbacked Under53c519.9$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under50c500.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.469947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.043333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cd…2eedbacked Over54c466.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c440.01$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.952,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Over48c416.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2056061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Under45c399.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.998149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under53c397.93$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.038560%51 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under51c391.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.517761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xafb8…7451backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over49c336.42$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.831156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Over49c318.82$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.556535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c304.81$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a7…c386backed Over49c303.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.271,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under47c296.6$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.814745.6%67 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9b7…f46dbacked Over50c239.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over51c234.71$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11924935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Under48c228.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.867945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Over49c224.11$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.811450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2b…3febbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…8656backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over49c206.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8762…cc57backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under51c201.22$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5215156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555f…e6bdbacked Over50c198.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0425…5d14backed Over48c193.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under38c173.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.312,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over54c169.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4212028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…8588backed Over50c156.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7820325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515727.4%43 W · 114 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over52c147$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4411846.6%55 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under50c143.71$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.361,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Over52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523838.7%92 W · 146 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Over54c123.91$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.919832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over49c112$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under50c104.34$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1729154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabf1…fcbfbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508438.1%32 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Over51c102.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8921146.9%99 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over53c101.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5422242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…2b56backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.12714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-72%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5057252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.998938.2%34 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under53c96.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6726537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd29…9403backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f2…1652backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013037.7%49 W · 81 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Under37c91.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.419247.9%92 W · 100 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4236329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Over45c79.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8118040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f7…319bbacked Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.73432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c0…f0c5backed Over54c66.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked Over50c60.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309654.2%52 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over48c56.81$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a09…4a73backed Over53c54.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over48c53.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9648152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52cc…fefbbacked Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580%0 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef0f…9bfabacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-84.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x701e…6137backed Over47c49.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.414420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-37.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over50c48.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.142640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Over53c48.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.545959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0155…78aabacked Over48c47.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x831a…0765backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519343.5%84 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5332…8af4backed Over41c46.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.024146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da0…c1b1backed Over50c44.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf11c…ff89backed Over49c40.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014624.7%36 W · 110 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8877…1fa6backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010733.6%36 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e7b…2564backed Over53c33.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…ac0ebacked Over55c33.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Over61c32.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209250%46 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc9b…f2c6backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157819.2%15 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.