TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c110,711$70,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,701.794,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Over41c26,987$11,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.0112325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under57c24,727$14,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,632.674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over31c22,680$7,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,134.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over36c21,774$7,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,870.692,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under55c13,864$7,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,169.41,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over43c10,742$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.12,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c10,031$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,231.162,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over43c10,027$4,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,311.752,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…f217backed Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3001070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over37c9,999$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.9858642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over33c8,384$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c8,172$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under55c5,634$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…4364backed Over46c4,798$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under57c4,000$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over38c3,719$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4009515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over34c3,493$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.462,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under56c3,029$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa01b…bc1dbacked Over43c2,527$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c2,499$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.532,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over44c2,441$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.975754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffdb…4390backed Over43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under56c2,254$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.11,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Over45c2,213$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over41c2,133$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.621,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under56c2,092$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.3388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under55c2,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c1,738$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.792,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Over36c1,687$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cca…2841backed Over39c1,515$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.143330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over39c1,500$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5903917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Over45c1,338$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.0910819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over31c1,319$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.661,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under58c1,171$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.029551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc097…6b91backed Over43c1,051$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over43c1,029$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.358530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over35c1,022$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.81,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over44c1,006$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.535930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6642…eea1backed Over46c952.17$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4381533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under60c917.59$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.0464443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over45c891.11$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40116747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c852.3$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.494,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3961…6b08backed Over42c796.84$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Over43c790.7$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3405721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over41c717$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.512,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Over43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017357.8%100 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa778…46febacked Over3c681.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.484526.7%12 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Under55c651.97$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3818839.9%75 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Over43c648.44$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.183357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Over42c607.13$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9916633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under56c601.22$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4377…6563backed Over42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under58c585.27$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.682,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over44c570.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over42c567.69$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.432,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Over43c558.14$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over42c545.03$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3560752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20510359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93d4…7345backed Under59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105042%21 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed13…6382backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a1…51a5backed Over42c499.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ddc…1480backed Over43c466$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3810733.6%36 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c427.72$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under60c423.75$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under55c406.28$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.837247.2%34 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over44c403.06$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.353,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…1fc7backed Over50c401.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010536.2%38 W · 67 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c399.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.631,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over27c372.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under61c370.75$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8c…17eebacked Over43c303$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Under57c300$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13020031%62 W · 138 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Over19c284.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12c…fb37backed Over43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+188.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under57c275.61$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.551,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c2…4765backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859e…894fbacked Over42c261.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105026%13 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under56c258.12$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over39c257.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6110153.5%54 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b8…3c05backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022648.2%109 W · 117 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf5f…3d5fbacked Over43c254$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4018…fba4backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Over44c246$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4b…c81ebacked Over40c244.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.397731.2%24 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…622ebacked Over42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2506…a511backed Over43c234.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ff…0ff8backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over43c230.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006041.7%25 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…5881backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+80.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under57c221.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.456857.4%39 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a4…28bbbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.