TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65b8…3c05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
364
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT22648.2%109 W · 117 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 226 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$491.72
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+191.9%+$1,535.57
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$128.93
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$932.99
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55%+$330.23
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$232.43
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$146.91
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 226 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$134.06
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Top Esports make a roster change before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+156.8%+$31.37
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$297.23
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$361.96
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$211.09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,289.91
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$515.48
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$172.36
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3369.7%23 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Taro Danielbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$96.27
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$98.82
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsenbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$64.3
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$25.13
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Cincinnati Open: Joao Fonseca vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Cincinnati Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Cincinnati Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworthbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
Cincinnati Open: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navonebacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$195.33
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$312.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+231.2%+$462.39
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$118.76
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$282.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$69.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.