Spread: Spain (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x392b0b5b48989e2208978535ce82ed77ceaea60a3e906ffe201c129a6621f2bb

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Argentinaof Spain, Argentina
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,309,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,374,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,309,011 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 718 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x76ad…c939backed Spain	21c	1,227,505$253,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253,014.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Argentina	79c	171,253$135,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,969.11	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Spain	20c	150,000$29,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,499.93	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Spain	20c	120,000$23,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,899.92	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed Spain	20c	102,247$20,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,633.88	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Argentina	80c	93,803$74,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,229.69	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Spain	20c	76,588$15,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,300	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spain	21c	70,000$14,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,350	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Argentina	80c	69,342$55,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,020.41	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Spain	19c	60,000$11,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,399.95	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…0118backed Spain	20c	49,999$9,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,979.17	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	20cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spain	20c	49,517$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60c9…9e8abacked Spain	19c	39,604$7,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,712.12	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Argentina	80c	37,000$29,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,400	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Spain	16c	35,640$5,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,760.78	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Spain	20c	34,659$6,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,769.11	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Argentina	80c	34,004$27,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,878.64	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain	17c	31,772$5,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,394.16	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Spain	20c	30,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Argentina	80c	29,576$23,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,977.13	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Spain	12c	28,750$3,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,449.99	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Argentina	79c	28,064$22,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,784.49	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Spain	15c	21,638$3,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,140.29	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Spain	20c	20,001$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000.26	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a13…ee8dbacked Spain	0c	20,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Spain	20c	20,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,999.99	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Spain	21c	19,935$4,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,113.23	167	46.7%78 W · 89 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Spain	6c	16,445$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.27	70	20%14 W · 56 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Argentina	80c	15,000$11,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,037.48	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…09abbacked Spain	0c	14,452$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Spain	21c	14,407$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcd…e3d7backed Spain	20c	12,003$2,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,430.53	109	39.4%43 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b0…a193backed Spain	20c	11,774$2,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,384.32	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Spain	12c	11,501$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,394.44	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Argentina	80c	11,000$8,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,231.73	326	47.9%156 W · 170 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Spain	20c	10,990$2,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,201.78	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Argentina	80c	10,500$8,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,100.02	249	50.2%125 W · 124 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Argentina	80c	10,136$8,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,054.59	220	47.7%105 W · 115 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Spain	20c	10,000$2,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.05	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Spain	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Argentina	79c	10,000$7,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,075	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spain	19c	10,000$1,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,925	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-40%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Argentina	80c	10,000$7,985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,014.99	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Spain	20c	9,640$1,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,956.13	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.6wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Spain	13c	9,063$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.93	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7414…72a3backed Spain	12c	9,000$1,045 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9c…fe9dbacked Spain	18c	8,640$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Spain	12c	8,550$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.13	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7265…8712backed Argentina	80c	8,467$6,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,717.34	335	48.4%162 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Argentina	80c	8,239$6,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.73	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Argentina	79c	8,176$6,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,676.1	72	34.7%25 W · 47 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Spain	7c	8,118$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	87	10.3%9 W · 78 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x572c…c28fbacked Spain	0c	8,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0b…75c6backed Spain	0c	8,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfae4…299fbacked Spain	17c	8,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4f4…8c06backed Spain	13c	7,937$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Argentina	80c	7,500$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Spain	18c	7,300$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	+8.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Spain	21c	6,667$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.06	57	29.8%17 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Spain	10c	6,616$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.43	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Spain	20c	6,490$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	226	20.4%46 W · 180 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…9a67backed Argentina	79c	6,395$5,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,327.07	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf2…6209backed Argentina	79c	6,370$5,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,353.62	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked Spain	21c	6,157$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,292.53	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Argentina	80c	6,000$4,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Argentina	80c	6,000$4,785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,214.97	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Spain	20c	5,750$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Spain	18c	5,623$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.02	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Spain	16c	5,484$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.9	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Spain	20c	5,432$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa4cc…3a42backed Spain	20c	5,215$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain	21c	5,171$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87de…22afbacked Spain	8c	5,102$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Spain	20c	5,098$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.22	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Argentina	79c	5,050$3,977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.13	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe700…7005backed Spain	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Spain	20c	5,000$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.5	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb0…e550backed Spain	21c	5,000$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062.5	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Spain	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Spain	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0366…a001backed Spain	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.98	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	19cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Spain	5c	4,918$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.8	539	20.6%111 W · 428 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f9…6c3dbacked Spain	20c	4,878$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Spain	21c	4,684$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+191.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x872e…e58fbacked Spain	20c	4,668$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.42	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed Argentina	80c	4,617$3,694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.4	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Spain	20c	4,444$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf837…bd42backed Argentina	80c	4,375$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spain	19c	4,304$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.52	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab7…5b3ebacked Spain	20c	3,993$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Argentina	80c	3,964$3,168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.63	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Argentina	80c	3,933$3,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.69	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee9…56f5backed Spain	17c	3,833$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Spain	11c	3,797$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.31	136	23.5%32 W · 104 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Spain	8c	3,767$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.17per pick	34cpaid	+41%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9897…6b8ebacked Argentina	80c	3,632$2,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.51	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	73cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Spain	16c	3,608$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.38	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb99…7364backed Argentina	80c	3,571$2,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$731.97	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spain	17c	3,563$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.61	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Spain	20c	3,494$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spain (-1.5)this page
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event