TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over42c20,039$8,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,413.952,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under58c11,000$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.984746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Under58c4,980$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under58c4,806$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.565352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c4,154$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8263…e57ebacked Under58c2,360$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.194639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over42c2,244$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.325952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under58c1,636$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.982,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under58c1,601$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.581,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under62c1,369$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.4338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under56c1,283$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.268048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b0…4dffbacked Under58c1,041$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.221384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+69.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under55c907.74$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.2583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x738c…09d7backed Over42c902.07$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.871428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xabad…f40bbacked Under58c820.91$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.994257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over40c755.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.425643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c588.93$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.021,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under58c585$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125d…4f51backed Over45c501$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over39c486.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.794,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57b…c8f3backed Over42c477.69$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.635932.2%19 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0aa…fd22backed Over42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010623.6%25 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked Over42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012322%27 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebed…3528backed Over44c458.86$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.98349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over42c448.09$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under59c441$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8143145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under56c439.98$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5926047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under58c431$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.022,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under58c431$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.022,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c430.76$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.773,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under58c430$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.68838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over14c424.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.12,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe261…734bbacked Under58c388.92$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.42771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over40c376.5$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.41,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ec…d00dbacked Over30c349.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.253237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Under59c308.47$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.471643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaa…05e8backed Over38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…ce78backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under57c219.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.883,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under54c216.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.418543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc8e…e4a3backed Over42c210.79$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.533033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Under57c173.37$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.554630.4%14 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over42c172.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.072,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under52c170.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0945145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf20…c784backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under63c158.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9824540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under58c155.96$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over41c139.64$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.692,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over42c137.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7351228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over21c133.31$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285213.5%7 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Over42c129$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.186929%20 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under55c126.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.163745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over44c122$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.682,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4503…98d7backed Over42c103.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+51.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dac…9220backed Over32c101.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.344122%9 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7528143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f52…eb8bbacked Over46c83.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.523020%6 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f61…30debacked Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea77…82eebacked Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305641.1%23 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under66c63.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.882,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Over41c59.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under62c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7217945.3%81 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under62c52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.762,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef57…805bbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013149.6%65 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Under59c44.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x770e…3f79backed Over42c44.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Under65c42.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under80c41.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.232,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Under76c41.1$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.734351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over42c37.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.741,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over44c36.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7762633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under57c34.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8f…df9abacked Over43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5399…2b4fbacked Under60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1215156.3%85 W · 66 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa873…1aadbacked Over42c29.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over42c27.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.513930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over45c23.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.