TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c66,713$45,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,370.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under60c32,662$19,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,197.5977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over37c28,871$10,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,616.6517544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Over15c21,138$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.873941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over39c16,649$6,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,538.42,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c14,089$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,867.62,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under60c12,421$7,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,958.091,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9636…d08bbacked Under60c12,100$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,840.121553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over41c11,849$4,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,858.15248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a70…eec2backed Over30c10,147$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under61c9,000$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,51040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over35c8,424$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.842,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c8,118$4,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.22,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under67c7,180$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.951,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c6,719$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Under71c6,633$4,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.7578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over39c6,606$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.82,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over40c6,250$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under80c5,402$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…b9b4backed Over40c4,998$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over22c4,529$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x533c…2658backed Under61c4,300$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6772860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under60c4,111$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.0997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over40c3,944$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.5775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under60c3,869$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.341,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Under60c3,055$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+81.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c3,000$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.783,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c3,000$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.483,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20019062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c2,901$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.234,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under64c2,828$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.051,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0670…09c7backed Over39c2,527$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-83.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x382e…4f6bbacked Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009437.2%35 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under65c2,426$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.0426841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c2,232$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.164,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e48…a8eabacked Over40c2,193$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.142842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c97…cd5abacked Over40c2,110$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8446229%18 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over30c2,007$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.31,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78011755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8204221.4%9 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over40c1,975$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79015054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under59c1,783$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.0159752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over26c1,677$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.852,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under60c1,669$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.693,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Over30c1,600$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4748747.1%41 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c1,549$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.611,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Over40c1,525$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under59c1,440$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.991,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over22c1,389$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.4863544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under76c1,385$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.189752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Over23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6800…0d25backed Over39c1,279$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010546.7%49 W · 56 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c1,229$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.33,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0836…85aabacked Over40c1,223$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe54d…6818backed Over1c1,167$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over41c1,141$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.583452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over39c1,123$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.4225643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c3…b47abacked Over42c1,100$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4625328.3%15 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33b…2372backed Over39c1,004$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.657936.7%29 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over5c1,003$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe3…eaafbacked Over22c918.59$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.091330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under61c874$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.861,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under60c832.95$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.182,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec7…f874backed Over42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over39c799.98$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9913155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over40c705$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c625$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over30c615.91$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.432,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aae…50f4backed Over40c605$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under58c592.5$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under60c572.17$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.872,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over26c555$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.412339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2341…3535backed Over39c550$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ec6…e2debacked Over40c545.04$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.022065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Over40c543.35$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.341030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed4d…e0b0backed Under60c539.24$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over22c528$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…0d6abacked Over19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100407.5%3 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40c4…9990backed Over23c512.26$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005521.8%12 W · 43 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabad…f40bbacked Under58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0c…4eb3backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017930.7%55 W · 124 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Under60c492.6$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.045356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb81…e68bbacked Over40c492.2$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.887533.3%25 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over41c482.92$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.